Shriram Properties Ltd
Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Realty
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: No
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No explicit mention of new fundraising through debt or equity in the current quarter.
- The company has successfully lowered gross debt marginally from INR 631 crores to INR 610 crores.
- Debt-equity ratio is low at 0.37, expected to be further reduced to 0.25-0.3 levels by year-end through cash from operations and land monetization.
- Land monetization efforts, such as West Bengal transaction resolution (INR 240-250 crores liability) and Chennai Mall land monetization, aim to positively impact cash flow.
- Company completed two project acquisitions investing about INR 44 crores.
- No direct announcement of raising fresh equity or debt; focus is on generating free cash flow (~INR 300 crores over next three years) from ongoing projects and monetizations for operational needs.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Shriram Properties is focusing on expanding its project pipeline aggressively to support a 25% CAGR over the next three years.
- They plan to add another 15 to 18 million square feet of pipeline in the next 18-24 months to ensure robust launch capability.
- Two new projects concluded recently: one JDA in North Bangalore and one own project near Electronic City, with a combined saleable area of 0.78 million sq.ft worth around INR 600 crores.
- Pune project launch is deferred due to approval delays but expected earliest by late Q2 or Q3 FY25.
- Capital investment is aligned with launching new projects after achieving sales visibility (around 30% pre-sales before starting construction).
- Free cash flow of about INR 300 crores is anticipated over FY25-FY27 period after considering project investments.
- No current plans to enter new geographies like Mumbai, but Pune market is being actively developed.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Targeting 20%-25% CAGR growth over the next three years (FY25-FY27).
- Planning to scale sales volume to approximately 7.5 to 8 million square feet by FY27-28.
- Expect to sell around 15 to 17 million square feet total volume in the next 30-36 months.
- Will add an additional 15 to 18 million square feet to the project pipeline in the next 18-24 months to support launches.
- Confident of achieving INR 2,750 to 3,000 crores in sales value and INR 1,700 to 1,800 crores in collections for the full year.
- Anticipating robust income recognition from ongoing and sold projects over the next three years.
- Expect steady growth and improved profitability focused on mid-market and mid-market premium segments.
- New project launches and handovers are expected to contribute to revenue momentum in Q2 onwards.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Shriram Properties targets a 25% CAGR growth over the next three years, focusing on mid-market and premium mid-market segments.
- They aim to achieve 7.5 to 8 million square feet in development volume by FY27-28.
- Sales volume over the next 30-36 months is expected to be 15-17 million square feet with plans to add 15-18 million square feet of pipeline.
- About 70% of income over the next three years will come from projects already sold as of March 31, 2024.
- EBITDA margins are expected to stabilize in the mid-20% range.
- PAT margins are projected to be stable at 9%-11%.
- Income recognition and handovers will gain momentum especially in Q2-Q4 of FY25.
- New launches and strong pipeline add growth visibility, with continued focus on operational excellence to meet market expectations.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The current project pipeline stands at approximately 42 million square feet.
- Within this, about 24 million square feet are ongoing projects and around 18 million square feet are upcoming launches.
- To sustain a 20% CAGR and robust launch capacity, the company aims to add another 15 to 18 million square feet of new pipeline over the next 18-24 months.
- Several projects are at advanced negotiation stages, expected to be announced in the coming quarters.
- The company plans to sell around 15 to 17 million square feet over the next 30-36 months.
- This pipeline addition is critical to support the target volume growth, moving from 4.5 million sq. ft. last year to 7.5–8 million sq. ft. by FY27-28.
- Project launches have been impacted by delays, especially Pune where approvals are awaited, likely pushing launch to Q3 FY25.
