Shriram Properties Ltd
Q4 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis
Realty
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Shriram Properties has a strong project pipeline of about 53 million square feet.
- Of this, 24 million square feet is ongoing, with the company’s share being around 23 million square feet.
- Approximately 80% of this ongoing inventory is already sold.
- They expect to end FY24 with about 5 million square feet of unsold area from ongoing projects (opening inventory for FY25).
- There is an additional 20 million square feet available for future launches, comprising deferred projects (7-8 million sq ft) and ready-to-launch projects (12-13 million sq ft).
- The company targets launching another 6-7 million square feet in FY25 to sustain growth.
- Overall, the orderbook and pending orders provide good visibility on volumes and revenue for FY24 and FY25, with 70% of aggregate revenue from existing sold inventory.
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- There is no explicit mention of any new fundraising plans through debt or equity in the discussed pages.
- The company has been managing its debt by acquiring and refinancing existing obligations, such as the acquisition of JV interest in Shriram Park 63 leading to a rise in gross debt, expected to decline in coming quarters.
- Efforts to reduce cost of debt and refinance are ongoing but incremental progress is expected to be slow due to market conditions.
- The company has a comfortable liquidity position with daily liquidity between Rs.60-80 crores, supporting operational and growth needs.
- New project acquisitions are being funded through existing cash flows and treasury balances, not new external fundraising.
- The company aims for zero net debt position within the next 18-24 months, leveraging asset-light models and monetization activities.
- Discussions on promoters' shareholding and strategic investors indicate stable equity ownership without plans for immediate new equity infusion.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Entry into the Pune market was approved by the board; a significant new strategic investment after a gap.
- A total project revenue potential of about Rs.1,300 crores identified for the Pune project, with an 18% DM fee including marketing costs — considered an attractive, low capital-intensive opportunity.
- The company is progressing with re-approvals and RERA application for formal Pune entry expected by end of March 2023.
- Focus remains on residential development with some commercial integration only where required (e.g., Pune project includes some commercial activity as an integrated parcel).
- Plans include launching another 6-7 million square feet over the next year to feed growth in FY'25, indicating ongoing capital allocation towards development.
- Evaluating new projects for deployment under the ASK co-development platform; another large project deployment is expected in the coming quarters, with a focus on asset-light, capital-efficient growth.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Targeting 20% average growth over the next 2-3 years.
- Ending FY'24 with around 5 million square feet of unsold area from ongoing projects.
- Planning to launch another 6-7 million square feet in FY'25 to drive growth.
- Strong visibility of volume potential for FY'25 due to robust sales pipeline (54 million sq.ft total, 24 million ongoing, 80% already sold).
- Revenue recognition for FY'24, FY'25, and FY'26 has good visibility with 70% of aggregate revenue coming from already sold volumes.
- Confident of meaningful growth in earnings and revenue in FY'25.
- Q4 expected to recoup deferred volumes and revenues from Q3 setbacks, leading to strong full-year delivery.
- Focus on markets: Bangalore, Chennai, Pune as major growth drivers.
- Pursuing asset-light model to support capital efficiency and scalability.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Shriram Properties targets an average growth of 20% over the next 2-3 years (Page 13).
- EBITDA margins are stable around mid-20%, with confidence to sustain this in coming years (Page 7, 10).
- Nine months FY24 show 14% EBITDA growth, 11% PBT growth, and slight net profit increase, indicating improving profitability (Page 7, 10).
- Full-year FY24 earnings expected to show meaningful growth despite Q3 setbacks due to deferred revenues, which are expected to be recouped in Q4 (Pages 7, 11).
- EPS for nine months FY24 at Rs.3.24 compares well with full-year FY23, showing growth momentum (Page 10).
- FY25 has good revenue visibility with ~70% from already sold volume, implying further meaningful revenue and profit growth (Page 13).
- Efforts on capital-light model and debt reduction aim to ensure financial strength supporting growth (Page 14).
