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Shyam Metalics & Energy LtdQ2 FY23

Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 965P/E: 22.9Market Cap: ₹24.5K CrSector: Industrial Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Shyam Metalics targets a CAGR of around 15% to 20% year-on-year growth in revenue with the new CAPEX plans.
  • The company expects top line growth of more than 20% annually due to the expansion.
  • By FY26, the new capacities announced in the ongoing CAPEX phase are expected to be commissioned and ramped up to about 90% utilization.
  • The company aims for a revenue target of around ₹25,000 crore by 2025.
  • Expansion focuses on downstream value-added products, enhancing the product mix and volume.
  • Volume growth is supported by new capacities in steel melting, pelletization, sponge iron, and ductile iron pipes.
  • Post monsoon demand recovery is expected to drive growth after short-term softness.
  • Aspirations to increase market share in B2C segments to reduce cyclical impacts on sales.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Shyam Metalics targets a CAGR of around 15% to 20% year-on-year growth, with top-line expected to grow more than 20% annually post new CAPEX.
  • New CAPEX aims to enhance product mix and volume, driving stronger revenue and EBITDA growth.
  • The company anticipates commissioning major CAPEX by FY25 and FY26, expected to boost operating earnings significantly.
  • Management expects EBITDA margins to remain stable or improve with raw material cost benefits and operational efficiencies.
  • IRR of the new CAPEX is projected upwards of 20%, indicating strong profitability from expansions.
  • PAT margins for Q1 FY24 stood at 7.11% despite market challenges, with prospects for margin expansion as input costs ease.
  • Overall optimism in margin improvement and sustained profit growth, supported by downstream product focus and renewable energy integration.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company plans to raise funds primarily through QIP (Qualified Institutional Placement) and possibly some portion through OFS (Offer for Sale).
  • These plans are still under discussion and review with merchant bankers; details will be disclosed soon.
  • Management is confident that with current cash reserves (around Rs.1300 crore in treasury) and expected cash flows, they will not need to take additional debt for upcoming CAPEX.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio is currently low (~0.08) and is expected to remain stable or improve, not increase.
  • Total CAPEX for FY24 is projected around Rs.2000 crore (part of overall ~3000-3500 crore CAPEX planned over next years), and all funding is planned from internal accruals, cash, and equity raise as mentioned.
  • No specific new debt fundraising announced; emphasis is on prudent capital allocation and maintaining strong credit rating.

Order book

  • The transcript does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders for Shyam Metalics and Energy Limited.
  • However, discussions indicate ongoing and upcoming CAPEX projects totaling approximately ₹3,900+ crores planned over FY24 to FY26.
  • Key pending CAPEX includes:
  • - Blast furnace of 600,000 tonnes expected commissioning by December 2023.
  • - Coke oven plant of 450,000 tonnes expected by November or December 2023.
  • - Ductile iron pipe plant of 200,000 tonnes expected by September 2025.
  • Acquisition of Mittal Corp valued at ₹351 crores, with ₹75-100 crores in modifications pending.
  • Overall, the company is focused on commissioning new capacities and expanding product mix rather than disclosing order book specifics.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Total CAPEX envisioned for FY24 is around Rs. 2000 crores, including pending CAPEX from earlier announcements.
  • CAPEX breakdown over three years: ~Rs. 2100 crores in FY24, Rs. 2300 crores in FY25, and Rs. 1000 crores in FY26.
  • Major CAPEX projects include:
  • - Blast furnace (0.6 million tonnes) and coke oven plant (0.45 million tonnes) commissioning by Nov-Dec 2023.
  • - Ductile iron pipe plant (0.2 million tonnes) expected by Sep 2025.
  • - Enhancements in downstream facilities: CRM stainless steel, DI pipes, hot flat products, parallel flange beams, steel wire drawing (~1.6 million tonnes total capacity addition).
  • - Aluminium foil plant expansion with battery foil for EVs, targeting domestic and international markets.
  • - Power capacity enhancement: 220 MW additional captive power plant capacity.
  • The company plans to fund CAPEX largely from internal accruals and QIP fundraising, maintaining or improving current low debt-equity ratio (~0.08).

How does Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Products?

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1Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd
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