Simplex Castings
Q4 FY27 Earnings Call Analysis
Industrial Products
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 1margin: Category 2orderbook: Yes
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Current quarterly order book is above ₹100 crores, providing healthy revenue visibility.
- Steel plant contributes nearly 50% of the order book.
- Around 30% of orders come from the power industry, including fabrication for BHEL and Gaja Engineering.
- Remaining 20% comprises orders from gearbox manufacturers, pump manufacturers, and machine tool industry.
- Mazgaon Dock orders (5-6%) relate to naval shipbuilding (Indian Coast Guard and Navy).
- Trial orders for fabricated railway bogies are underway, with casted bogie orders expected post-final RDSO approval.
- First steel plant capex order (~₹13 crores) received recently from a PSU via ThyssenKrupp; more orders in pipeline.
- Order book includes high-value and trial orders from marquee customers like BHEL, Mazgaon Dock, Gaza Engineering.
- The company anticipates the resumed freight wagon bogie business adding ₹40-50 crores to topline from FY26-27.
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Simplex Castings Limited has recently done a fundraising.
- Out of the total fundraiser, approximately ₹25 crores is planned for capex.
- Another ₹25 crores is targeted towards working capital needs.
- The company has a cash credit (CC) limit from Kotak of ₹34 crores.
- The management expects better working capital management and does not anticipate past liquidity issues recurring due to improved sector conditions and support.
- Asset turn from the ₹25 crores capex is expected to be at least 3-4x.
- No announcements on any additional future fundraising through debt or equity were mentioned beyond this.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Capex plan includes ₹25 crores targeted from recent fundraise, with an expected asset turnover of 3-4x.
- Capacity addition underway for fabricated bogies, expected to take 6-8 months to become operational.
- Casted bogies capacity already set up and operational.
- Considering setting up a fabrication unit near Arcelor Mittal Nippon Steel's upcoming Vishakapatnam steel plant, potentially with buyback arrangements for 4-5 years.
- Focused on upgrading product mix and moving up the value chain through investment in CNC machine tools, assembly shops, and fabrication capabilities.
- May explore aluminum foundry and high-pressure die casting opportunities via potential collaborations (consultations with German consultants ongoing).
- Capital expenditure primarily aimed at expanding railway and power sector products; defensive and shipbuilding sectors to receive smaller focus.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Simplex Castings targets a 40-50% CAGR in revenue over the next 2-3 years, driven primarily by growth in railways and power sectors.
- Railway sector revenue is expected to grow from near zero to about 20-25% in FY 26-27.
- Power sector contribution is projected to increase from 10-15% to around 20-30% in the same period.
- The company aims to shift from jobbing to at least 50% repetitive product-line revenue, especially through railway casted and fabricated bogies.
- New capacity for fabricated bogies is expected to come online in 6-8 months.
- Steel sector will continue to contribute 40-50% of orders, with new capex orders starting to flow in FY 26-27.
- Defense and shipbuilding will grow at around 10-15%, contributing high margins but smaller revenue share.
- The order book is substantial, with no major order shortages expected, supporting sustained growth.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The company targets a 40-50% CAGR over the next 2-3 years, driven primarily by growth in railways, steel, and power sectors.
- EBITDA margins are expected to improve by at least a couple of percentage points compared to the current financial year.
- The shift towards more repetitive and higher-margin products like railway casted and fabricated bogies should enhance profitability.
- Capex plans of ₹25 crores are expected to generate asset turns of 3-4x, boosting revenue and margins.
- The company expects sustainable EBITDA margins around 10%, with future quarters anticipated to see margin normalization and improvement.
- Working capital cycles are planned to reduce to 90 days or less, improving cash flow and supporting growth.
- Long-term plans include focusing on railway and power sectors, with an increasing share of recurring business stabilizing earnings.
- The company expects quarterly revenue and profits to gain momentum starting FY26-27 with new orders and capacity expansion.
