SJVN Ltd
Q1 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis
Power
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- SJVN plans capacity additions with commissioning of 2,284 MW in FY '27, 650 MW in FY '28, and about 2,500 MW from FY '29 to '30.
- FY '26 revenue increased by 22% YoY to INR 3,545 crores, driven by tariff order recognition.
- SGEL expects improved profitability in FY '27 as new solar plants ramp up to full capacity.
- Buxar Thermal expected to move to profitability as PLF exceeds 70% in FY '27.
- Renewable Energy Implementing Agency awarded 16 GW of projects, with signed PSA of 6 GW; balance PPAs pending.
- Renewable tendering shows slower conversion due to DISCOMs’ adequacy plans and changing configurations; however, demand for renewable power with hybrid/storage solutions remains.
- Total generation in FY '26 was 13,302 million units, a 25% increase from previous year.
- Future growth targets (25,000 MW by 2030, 50,000 MW by 2040) are under review with a new business plan forthcoming.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- FY '26 PAT was INR 1,008 crores, a 4% increase from FY '25, despite challenges.
- Losses in subsidiaries SGEL and Buxar Thermal due to initial operations and lower PLF are expected to improve.
- Buxar Thermal plant projected to turn profitable in FY '27 as PLF surpasses 70%.
- Significant capacity additions planned: 2,284 MW in FY '27, 650 MW in FY '28, and 2,500 MW during FY '29-30.
- Focus on solar capacity expansion in near-term, with hydro projects commissioning from FY '29 onwards.
- Ongoing progress in Nepal hydro project aiming for commissioning by December 2028, adding to future earnings.
- Tariff and operational efficiencies expected to stabilize, with new business plan and realistic growth targets forthcoming.
- Curtailment issues being addressed (e.g., SVR at Bikaner) to ensure full capacity utilization.
- Overall, earnings and profits are expected to improve substantially from FY '27 onwards with capacity ramp-up and project stabilization.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- SJVN, as Renewable Energy Implementing Agency (REIA), has awarded contracts for around 16 GW (16,000 MW) renewable energy projects.
- Out of these, PPAs (Power Purchase Agreements) signed for approximately 6 GW.
- Balance 9-10 GW of PPAs are pending and under progress.
- Due to multiple tenders from various agencies and DISCOMs’ changing requirements, the conversion of the pending 9 GW PPAs to firm orders remains uncertain.
- Issues include the configuration of tenders (FDRE, pure solar, hybrid solar-wind), adequacy plans of DISCOMs, and tariff competitiveness.
- Some solar tariffs in signed tenders are attractive (~2.53 to 2.54 INR/unit) compared to new state tenders (~2.8 to 2.9 INR/unit), encouraging potential sales.
- Additionally, SJVN successfully awarded a 2000 MWh Battery Energy Storage System contract across UP and Haryana.
In summary, the current orderbook is 6 GW signed PPAs, with around 9 GW pending, conversion of which remains uncertain but actively pursued.
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The transcript does not explicitly mention any current or planned fundraising through equity.
- Regarding CAPEX, SJVN has a significant capital expenditure plan: around INR 9,400 crores for FY '27, INR 7,800 crores for FY '28, and INR 7,500 crores for FY '29.
- While discussing expansion and CAPEX funding, the management acknowledged the large CAPEX but did not specify the mode of funding (debt or equity).
- There's no direct statement about new debt or equity issuance in the provided pages, indicating no announced fundraising yet.
- The company is reviewing business plans and growth targets, which may lead to announcements on funding in the future.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- FY '26 CAPEX plan: INR 9,400 crores
- FY '27 CAPEX plan: INR 7,800 crores
- FY '28 CAPEX plan: INR 7,500 crores
- Total under construction portfolio includes:
- Four hydro projects (1,561.5 MW)
- Second unit of Buxar Thermal Power Plant (660 MW)
- Ten solar projects (1,705 MW)
- Focus on commissioning:
- 2,284 MW in FY '27
- 650 MW in FY '28
- Around 2,500 MW between FY '29 to FY '30
- Continued expansion in renewables:
- Awarded 16 GW renewable energy projects across solar, wind, hybrid, and storage
- Acting as Renewable Energy Implementing Agency
- New business plan under review to set realistic targets beyond earlier ambitious visions of 25,000 MW by 2030 and 50,000 MW by 2040.
