Solex Energy Ltd

Q1 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Electrical Equipment

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Solex is planning a major CapEx of around INR1,500 crores for a 2 GW solar cell line and 2 GW module line, funded approximately with two-thirds debt (INR1,000 crores) and one-third equity (INR500 crores). - For the current 2.2 GW expansion, funding is through internal accruals and previous preferential allotment funds; no new equity is planned for this phase. - Management is engaging with bankers and investors to structure the INR500 crores equity raise for the larger expansion, expected within 2-3 months. - Debt levels will peak around FY27, with INR1,000 crores for expansion plus existing INR400 crores, totaling INR1,400 crores. - Term loans and working capital loans are planned, including INR150 crores term loan and INR150 crores working capital for interim projects. - No immediate equity raise for the 2.2 GW module expansion; equity raising plans relate to larger, future expansions.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Solex Energy is planning a significant capital expenditure of around INR 1,500 crores for expansion. - This includes setting up a 2 GW solar cell manufacturing line (~INR 1,200 crores), a 2 GW module line (~INR 200 crores), and working capital (~INR 100 crores). - The company targets a debt-equity mix of approximately two-thirds debt and one-third equity for this expansion. - Current expansion includes commissioning a 2.5 GW module line expected to start commercial production by October 2025. - Plans to start commercial product shipment from the new lines from October 2025. - Strategic focus on technological upgradation with advanced, robotized, and automated equipment. - Solex is exploring different technology tie-ups, including back contact technology (TOPcon and HJT). - They target raising around INR 1,000 crores in debt and about INR 500 crores through equity within the next 2-3 months. - Expansion expected to complete roughly within 18 months from the start date.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Solex plans a 4 GW module manufacturing capacity by FY27, targeting revenue between INR 3,000 to 3,400 crores, including INR 200 crores from EPC business. - A 2 GW solar cell manufacturing line is being established, with full operation expected by FY27 end; cell contribution to revenues will be clarified closer to market approach. - Revenue guidance for FY26 is INR 2,200 to 2,400 crores, with module capacity of 1.5 GW for the full year plus expansion starting October. - Long-term vision includes 15 GW module capacity and 5 GW cell line by 2030, involving around $1 billion (INR 8,500 crores) investment. - Expansion relies heavily on demand; module capacity can scale up beyond 4 GW as order book grows. - EPC business expected to contribute about INR 200-300 crores annually, roughly 10%-12% of total revenue. - EBITDA margin targeted between 9%-11%, PAT margin sustaining between 5%-7%, expected to improve with scale and efficiency.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Solex Energy reported strong growth with FY25 revenue at INR665 crores, a 81% YoY increase. - EBITDA margin improved to around 11.4%, with PAT margin at 6.4%, both exceeding earlier estimates. - Management expects EBITDA margins in the 9-11% range and PAT margins around 6-7% sustainably, with scope for improvement via operational efficiencies. - Expansion plans include adding 2 GW cell line and 2 GW module line by FY27, supporting revenue growth towards INR3,000-3,400 crores by FY27. - Long term vision targets 15 GW module and 5 GW cell capacity by 2030, investing around $1 billion (INR8,500 crores) aiming for substantial scale. - Earnings per share (EPS) grew by 301% YoY in FY25; scale and efficiency gains from expansion expected to improve profits and EPS further. - Quarterly updates and investor communications will continue, with the company focusing on maintaining/improving margins amid market/technology changes.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The latest publicly announced order book as of March 31, 2025, was INR 1,756 million (likely meaning crores as per PPT context). - CRISIL rating report (May 8, 2025) mentioned an order book of INR 1,450 crores, indicating some discrepancy due to timing or data update. - A significant portion of the order book (~INR 1,020 crores) is concentrated with a single client, but this concentration is expected to reduce to around 40%-50% or lower as new orders are added. - Many smaller orders (3 MW, 5 MW, 10 MW) are not publicly announced but contribute to the overall order book. - Several Master Sales Agreements (MSAs) are signed; however, new Purchase Orders (POs) are awaited for exact delivery and booking. - Firm orders exist for new production lines, with confirmed POs expected as machines arrive for production scheduling.