Solex Energy Ltd

Q4 FY27 Earnings Call Analysis

Electrical Equipment

Full Stock Analysis
capex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yesfundraise: Yes
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Solex Energy's current order book exceeds INR 4,000 crores, including EPC orders, providing strong execution visibility (Page 3). - The order book primarily consists of large-scale IPP projects, covering about 80% of orders, with PM Surya Ghar and PM KUSUM schemes contributing roughly 10% (Page 11). - They have secured significant orders recently, including INR 544 crores from Zelestra Group entities and INR 289 crores from a reputed IPP for N-Type TOPCon modules (Page 3). - The order book includes close to 1.2 gigawatts of solar modules, with MSAs signed or under discussion, particularly with clients like Longi (Page 11). - Some orders may require renegotiation due to raw material price inflation, with certain projects reviewing feasibility and financing (Page 8). - Inventory build-up largely results from site readiness delays on the customer side, not cancellations (Page 9).
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Solex Energy is currently exploring funding options for the cell manufacturing expansion. - They expect to receive term sheets from investors within the next week for an amount around INR 300 to 400 crores. - The company is exploring 4-5 different funding options through bankers. - No specific details were provided about equity fundraising, but multiple options are being considered. - Land acquisition for the new cell line is near completion, and technological and vendor discussions are progressing. - Overall, Solex is preparing for growth with cautious capital allocation aligned with expansion plans.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Solex Energy is planning to establish a 2.2-gigawatt N-type TOPCon Plus solar cell production line targeting commercial operations by FY '27 (2027). - The company aims to increase total module capacity from the current 4 gigawatts to 10 gigawatts by 2030. - Plans include developing upstream capability with 10 gigawatts of solar cell manufacturing and 2 gigawatts of ingot and wafer production in the coming years. - The cell line project is on track, with land acquisition nearing closure after overcoming regulatory clearances. - The company is exploring funding options for the cell line with expected term sheets in the range of INR 300 to 400 crores. - Solex is also exploring strategic investments into Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) manufacturing solutions, targeting entry around late FY '27 to early FY '28, with expected growth through 2028. - Collaborations with technology partners like ISC Konstanz (Germany) and TT Vision (Malaysia) to accelerate next-gen solar cell technology and automation.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Solex Energy aims to achieve revenue of INR 1,700 to 1,800 crores by the end of FY '26. - Revenue growth is supported by strong order inflows and improved execution momentum. - Operating leverage from the ramp-up of new manufacturing lines is expected to normalize margins in Q4 FY '26. - The company plans to increase module manufacturing capacity from 4 GW to 10 GW by 2030. - A 2.2 GW N-type TOPCon Plus solar cell production line is targeted to start commercial operations by FY '27. - Upstream capabilities including 10 GW of solar cell manufacturing and 2 GW of ingot and wafer production are planned by 2030. - Expansion into Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) manufacturing is being explored to tap into emerging market opportunities starting late FY '27, expected to peak around 2028. - Strong policy support in India for solar schemes like PM Surya Ghar and PM KUSUM enhances long-term demand visibility.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Solex Energy is targeting revenue in the range of INR 1,700 to 1,800 crores for FY '26, with strong order inflows and capacity ramp-up. - Expected PAT margins for the full year are projected between 6% to 8%. - Operating leverage from increasing utilization of the 2.2-gigawatt facility (ramped up fully by December 2025) is anticipated to support margin recovery in Q4 FY '26 and beyond. - Expansion plans include increasing module capacity from 4 GW to 10 GW by 2030 and establishing 2.2 GW N-type TOPCon Plus solar cell production by 2027, paving the way for enhanced earnings. - The company’s diversified order book exceeding INR 4,000 crores provides healthy revenue visibility. - Emerging opportunities in Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) starting late FY '27 to FY '28 expected to drive additional growth. - Margins impacted short-term by fixed costs from capacity expansion but expected to normalize and improve with scale and efficiency.