Sonata Software Ltd

Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

IT - Software

Full Stock Analysis
revenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yesfundraise: No informationcapex: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Sonata Software plans to repay acquisition-related loans within 12 to 15 months, which will reduce interest expenses. - No explicit mention of new fundraising through debt or equity in the current quarter. - The company is focused on paying off existing deferred acquisition payments by February 2024 and beyond. - Interest on deferred consideration and loan interest costs will start coming down from Q1 of the next year (April 2024 onwards). - The financial strategy appears centered on managing and unwinding existing financial obligations rather than raising new funds currently.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Sonata Software continues to invest strategically in AI, Gen AI, and Microsoft Fabric, expecting these investments to continue for about 18 months, with quarterly investments around 1.5% to 2% of EBITDA. - The focus is on modernization engineering, app modernization, data and cloud modernization as core areas for growth and acquisitions. - Investments include scaling the Quant Systems acquisition fully integrated for sales, delivery, operations, and bench aspects. - Significant bets in AI and Gen AI are aimed to transform customer interactions and drive business growth. - Planned acquisitions target companies with clients in healthcare, life sciences, BFSI sectors, especially in US, UK, and Europe. - Large deal transitions and modernization initiatives require continued capital allocation but should normalize after a couple of quarters. - There is also targeted investment in strengthening sales, marketing, and domain capabilities in key verticals.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Sonata aims to achieve a consolidated revenue of $1.5 billion by FY 2026 with an EBITDA margin in the early 20s. - The company expects growth fueled by its focus on modernization engineering, including app modernization, data, and cloud modernization. - Large deals currently in transition are anticipated to ramp up over the next two quarters, contributing significantly to revenue. - The large deal pipeline has grown substantially, now comprising 40% of the total pipeline, up from mid-teens the previous year. - Quant acquisition is fully integrated and is expected to propel growth, with a strong synergy pipeline exceeding $100 million including large client deals. - Continued investments in AI, Gen AI, and Microsoft Fabric are expected to be key growth drivers over the next 18 months. - Domestic business and BFSI, healthcare Life Sciences verticals show strong growth potential. - Despite macroeconomic challenges, Sonata has delivered industry-leading growth, remaining optimistic about long-term prospects.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Sonata aims to achieve consolidated revenue of $1.5 billion by FY’26 with EBITDA in the early 20% range. - The company expects to maintain top 25% quartile industry growth performance through investments in modernization engineering, AI, and large deals. - Large deals, currently in transition, are expected to accelerate growth as they ramp up in the next couple of quarters. - The Quant acquisition is fully integrated and contributing to revenue growth, with a $100 million synergy pipeline and 7.2% quarter-on-quarter revenue growth for Quant. - Earnings per share (EPS) showed growth of 5.6% quarter-on-quarter and 11.3% year-on-year in Q1 FY’24. - Continued investments in AI and Microsoft Fabric, estimated at 1.5%-2% of EBITDA quarterly, are expected to drive future growth. - Margin pressures from integration and investment costs are expected to unwind over the next few quarters, improving profitability.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Q1 FY24 order book normalized (excluding large deals) showed a strong book-to-bill ratio of 1.2x. - Large deals are excluded in normalization since they can skew the order book, and booked revenue replaces the large deal value to keep figures conservative. - The total order book is approximately USD 93 million (TCV including renewals and new deals). - Order book includes both renewals and net new business. - Large deals constitute about 40% of the total pipeline now, up from mid-teens last year. - Several large deals (ranging from multi-year contracts worth $5M to $160M) are in transition and expected to ramp up revenue in coming quarters. - The pipeline includes a mix of multi-year contracts of varying tenure (2.5 to 10 years). - The order book is largely executable over the next 12 months. - Ongoing investments in large deal accounts and new deal wins are expected to sustain order book growth.