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SPML Infra LtdQ2 FY24

SPML Infra Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 189P/E: 30.8Market Cap: ₹1.8K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Targeting an order book of Rs. 2,000 to Rs. 3,000 crore in FY25, with 40-50% execution within the year, translating to Rs. 800 to Rs. 1,000 crore revenue from current orders.
  • Expect gradual revenue growth starting Q2FY25, with a stronger second half.
  • Focus on high-margin, fully funded, easy-to-operate water sector projects; targeting double-digit EBITDA margins.
  • Anticipate Rs. 10,000 crore worth of bidding opportunities annually, aiming for Rs. 3,000 to Rs. 5,000 crore in new orders.
  • Strategic selection of projects to ensure quality and profitability, rather than volume alone.
  • Long-term growth driven by water infrastructure development backed by government schemes with estimated Rs. 20-25 lakh crore planned investment over 10-15 years.
  • Exploring fundraising to accelerate growth and expand bidding capacity.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company targets order book execution of Rs.800 to Rs.1,000 crore in FY25, constituting 40-50% of its Rs.2,000 crore order book (including JV share).
  • It aims for double-digit EBITDA margins (over 10%) on new orders and sustainable EBITDA margin around 12% and PAT margin around 6% from Q1FY25 onwards.
  • Growth driven by focus on high-margin, fully funded, easy-to-operate water sector projects with long-term opportunity of Rs.20-25 lakh crore investment expected over next 10-15 years.
  • Margin improvement expected due to less competition among qualified EPC players and better cost control.
  • The company is exploring fundraising and rating upgrades to enhance financial strength and support order book growth.
  • Revenue growth is expected to be steady, with potential to exceed FY24 revenues depending on order inflows and execution rates.
  • Operating profits and earnings per share (EPS) are expected to improve alongside margin expansion and increased scale from new orders.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company is currently exploring the possibility of raising funds to improve liquidity and accelerate growth due to significant opportunities in the water sector.
  • No definitive conclusion or decision on fundraising has been made yet; it remains at the drawing board or exploration stage.
  • Fundraising, if it happens, is expected potentially in the second half of the current financial year, subject to internal discussions and board approval.
  • The company has Rs.80-90 crore in fixed deposits, expects an additional Rs.40-50 crore from Vivad se Vishwas, and has promoter warrants, totaling about Rs.150-170 crore visibility for bank guarantees to support bidding.
  • Discussions with banks for increasing bank guarantee limits are ongoing.
  • Fundraising could be through debt or equity, but specifics are yet to be decided and announced.

Order book

Yes
  • Current total order book stands at approximately Rs. 2,000 crore, inclusive of SPML's direct orders and joint venture (JV) share.
  • SPML's own share of the order book is around Rs. 1,000 crore, with an additional Rs. 1,000 crore through JV.
  • Out of this Rs. 2,000 crore order book, 40-50% (Rs. 800 to Rs. 1,000 crore) is expected to be executed in the current financial year (FY25).
  • The order book execution timeline is spread over 2.5 to 3 years: around 40% this year, 50% next year, and 10% in the following year.
  • Around Rs. 10,000 crore worth of tender opportunities are targeted for bidding, aiming to secure Rs. 2,000-3,000 crore new orders in the current year.
  • Majority orders are EPC projects focused on water sector projects including pipeline, distribution, irrigation, and sewage.
  • Performance bank guarantees required for bidding range from 1% to 5%, with approximately Rs. 150 crore of funds available for bank guarantees.
  • O&M portion in order book is minimal, approximately Rs. 100 crore.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The transcript does not explicitly mention any current or planned capex or capital investments by SPML Infra Limited.
  • The company is focusing on bidding for high-quality, profitable water sector projects with strong cash flows rather than capital-intensive expansions.
  • There is ongoing exploration of fundraising opportunities within the financial year to improve liquidity and support order book growth.
  • Fundraising discussions are at the drawing board stage with no finalized plans yet; if done, it will happen in the second half of the financial year.
  • Promoters have infused over Rs.150 crore liquidity in the last five years, indicating strategic capital support.
  • The company aims to optimize execution by subcontracting to reduce working capital strain instead of heavy capital investment.
  • Overall, the emphasis is on strategic order selection and increasing profitability rather than heavy capital expenditure.

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