SPML Infra Ltd

Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Construction

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰

fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The company is currently exploring the possibility of raising funds to improve liquidity and accelerate growth due to significant opportunities in the water sector. - No definitive conclusion or decision on fundraising has been made yet; it remains at the drawing board or exploration stage. - Fundraising, if it happens, is expected potentially in the second half of the current financial year, subject to internal discussions and board approval. - The company has Rs.80-90 crore in fixed deposits, expects an additional Rs.40-50 crore from Vivad se Vishwas, and has promoter warrants, totaling about Rs.150-170 crore visibility for bank guarantees to support bidding. - Discussions with banks for increasing bank guarantee limits are ongoing. - Fundraising could be through debt or equity, but specifics are yet to be decided and announced.
🏗️

capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- The transcript does not explicitly mention any current or planned capex or capital investments by SPML Infra Limited. - The company is focusing on bidding for high-quality, profitable water sector projects with strong cash flows rather than capital-intensive expansions. - There is ongoing exploration of fundraising opportunities within the financial year to improve liquidity and support order book growth. - Fundraising discussions are at the drawing board stage with no finalized plans yet; if done, it will happen in the second half of the financial year. - Promoters have infused over Rs.150 crore liquidity in the last five years, indicating strategic capital support. - The company aims to optimize execution by subcontracting to reduce working capital strain instead of heavy capital investment. - Overall, the emphasis is on strategic order selection and increasing profitability rather than heavy capital expenditure.
📊

revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Targeting an order book of Rs. 2,000 to Rs. 3,000 crore in FY25, with 40-50% execution within the year, translating to Rs. 800 to Rs. 1,000 crore revenue from current orders. - Expect gradual revenue growth starting Q2FY25, with a stronger second half. - Focus on high-margin, fully funded, easy-to-operate water sector projects; targeting double-digit EBITDA margins. - Anticipate Rs. 10,000 crore worth of bidding opportunities annually, aiming for Rs. 3,000 to Rs. 5,000 crore in new orders. - Strategic selection of projects to ensure quality and profitability, rather than volume alone. - Long-term growth driven by water infrastructure development backed by government schemes with estimated Rs. 20-25 lakh crore planned investment over 10-15 years. - Exploring fundraising to accelerate growth and expand bidding capacity.
📈

margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company targets order book execution of Rs.800 to Rs.1,000 crore in FY25, constituting 40-50% of its Rs.2,000 crore order book (including JV share). - It aims for double-digit EBITDA margins (over 10%) on new orders and sustainable EBITDA margin around 12% and PAT margin around 6% from Q1FY25 onwards. - Growth driven by focus on high-margin, fully funded, easy-to-operate water sector projects with long-term opportunity of Rs.20-25 lakh crore investment expected over next 10-15 years. - Margin improvement expected due to less competition among qualified EPC players and better cost control. - The company is exploring fundraising and rating upgrades to enhance financial strength and support order book growth. - Revenue growth is expected to be steady, with potential to exceed FY24 revenues depending on order inflows and execution rates. - Operating profits and earnings per share (EPS) are expected to improve alongside margin expansion and increased scale from new orders.
📋

orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Current total order book stands at approximately Rs. 2,000 crore, inclusive of SPML's direct orders and joint venture (JV) share. - SPML's own share of the order book is around Rs. 1,000 crore, with an additional Rs. 1,000 crore through JV. - Out of this Rs. 2,000 crore order book, 40-50% (Rs. 800 to Rs. 1,000 crore) is expected to be executed in the current financial year (FY25). - The order book execution timeline is spread over 2.5 to 3 years: around 40% this year, 50% next year, and 10% in the following year. - Around Rs. 10,000 crore worth of tender opportunities are targeted for bidding, aiming to secure Rs. 2,000-3,000 crore new orders in the current year. - Majority orders are EPC projects focused on water sector projects including pipeline, distribution, irrigation, and sewage. - Performance bank guarantees required for bidding range from 1% to 5%, with approximately Rs. 150 crore of funds available for bank guarantees. - O&M portion in order book is minimal, approximately Rs. 100 crore.