Steel Strips Wheels Ltd
Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Auto Components
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
๐ฐfundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No explicit mention of any new fundraising through equity or fresh debt was made during the call.
- The company is focused on deleveraging and has reduced long-term debt from 374 Cr (222 Cr remaining) in FY23 with scheduled repayment of 60 Cr next year.
- CAPEX guidance is around 150 Cr for FY24, funded from internal accruals and cash flows, not via new borrowing.
- Debt to equity is at a manageable 0.52x, with emphasis on maintaining this leverage and improving ROCE.
- No plans stated for raising fresh equity; management prioritizes organic growth and utilizing cash flow for CAPEX and debt reduction.
- The company will continue to work collaboratively with stakeholders for common sustenance, without indicating capital raising events.
๐๏ธcapex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- FY '24 CAPEX guidance is around โน150 crores, including alloy wheel factory expansion and other business developments.
- Additional โน150 crores CAPEX planned for AMW (Alloy and Motor Wheel) business, expected to materialize within the current financial year.
- Total CAPEX including AMW could reach around โน300 crores.
- Aggressive CAPEX on alloy wheel capacity buildup to meet rapidly growing demand and exports, targeting capacity expansion from 3 million to about 5 million wheels over 12-18 months.
- Focus on expanding export markets with alloy wheel exports expected to grow from negligible to โน80-100 crores, potentially doubling or 2.5x in coming years.
- Strategic JV with an Israel company for controllers business is in definitive agreement stage, with revenue recognition expected from development activities next financial year.
๐revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Steel Strips Wheels Limited expects overall volume growth of 12% to 15% in FY '24, supported by domestic and export markets.
- Revenue guidance for FY '24 is projected between โน4,500 crores to โน4,600 crores based on the same raw material price basis as the previous year.
- Export volume growth is anticipated to be a key driver, with potential surprises favoring higher growth. Export volumes recorded a 48% increase in April 2023.
- Domestic market growth is steady, particularly in the commercial vehicle segment contributing high single-digit growth.
- Passenger vehicle segment growth is expected at 8% to 10%, lower than the prior yearโs 20% growth.
- Alloy wheels are a significant growth driver, contributing high single-digit volume growth despite a high base.
- The company aims to maintain or improve EBITDA per wheel, supporting margin stability alongside volume growth.
๐margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- FY '24 volume growth guidance: 12% to 15%, driven by exports and alloy wheels expansion.
- EBITDA per wheel expected to maintain around Rs. 250 to Rs. 265, indicating stable operating margins.
- EBITDA growth projected roughly in line with volume growth at 12% to 15%, with EBITDA estimated around Rs. 500-520 crores.
- Export revenues anticipated to increase significantly, contributing to margin improvement and higher earnings.
- Alloy wheel capacity expansion (from 3 million to up to 5 million in 12-18 months) expected to boost earnings potential.
- PLI (Production Linked Incentive) schemes expected to add incremental EBITDA accretion of ~8% by FY '24-'25.
- EBIT margins projected to improve gradually with scale, aided by enhanced export mix and product mix optimization.
- Free cash flow of Rs. 350-400 crores annually indicates strong cash generation supporting growth investments.
๐orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- For the next financial year, the topline guidance is around INR 4,500 to 4,600 crores with volume growth of 12% to 15%.
- The order book visibility is fairly strong for the next 12 to 18 months with expected low single to low double-digit volume growth.
- Export orders are showing promise with recovery from damage in the previous financial year; positive developments are expected from the export side.
- Close to 28 RFQs on the export side are being worked upon, expected to contribute from Q3 or Q4 of FY '23-'24.
- On the domestic front, market share gains are being targeted with some potential new large clients (including Maruti) anticipated in FY '24.
- Capacity expansion underway to support increased order volumes in alloy wheels segment, from 3 million to about 5 million units over next 12 to 18 months.
