Steel Strips Wheels Ltd

Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

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margin: Category 3fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- No new external debt borrowing is planned for the ongoing CAPEX of around Rs. 225 crores for the next year; this will be entirely funded from internal accruals. - The current debt level of Rs. 1,048 crores (March 2024) is considered peak debt, with scheduled repayments of approximately Rs. 105 crores annually over the next three years. - The company intends to repay debt naturally through scheduled repayments and prepayments as liquidity permits, aiming for a declining debt trend over time. - No mention of any equity fundraising was made during the discussion. - Overall, the management expects debt levels to reduce going forward, with capital expenditure funded internally and no immediate plans for fresh debt or equity issuance.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Planned CAPEX for FY25 is around Rs. 225 crores, fully fundable through accruals without external borrowing. - CAPEX includes alloy wheel expansion, knuckles, renewable energy projects, and flow forming equipment upgrades. - New capacity being built in Punjab, near Maruti’s factory, marking entry into new business verticals. - Equipment from AMW acquisition is being repurposed to add a new CV capacity line (approx. 400,000 wheels) at Jamshedpur. - No intention to idle existing equipment from AMW; focus on efficient utilization. - Future capacity expansions envisaged but timelines not firmly committed; aiming for phased increases, including possibly doubling alloy wheel capacity over time. - Strategic emphasis on aluminum knuckles—India's first producer—targeting SUV segment with pricing power. - Commitment to maintaining and optimizing engineering and demand generation to support growth plans.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Targeting ~10% growth in overall topline, aiming around Rs. 4,800 crores in the current financial year; potential to reach Rs. 5,000 crores if raw material and economic conditions improve. - Domestic aluminum alloy wheels expected to grow about 10% annually, driven by market share gains and new model launches (e.g., multiple Maruti refreshers). - Export revenues projected to grow about 10%, with a focus on aluminum alloy wheels and off-road vehicle wheels; aiming Rs. 700-720 crores in exports this year. - Tractor business expected to grow by about 12%, supported by new long-term agreements. - Two-wheeler wheel segment targeting 16% growth, including EV wheels. - Capacity utilization for alloy wheels projected to cross 4 million units next year (up from 3.3 million), aiming to fully utilize ~5 million capacity thereafter. - Long-term growth driven by higher value-added products, expanded market share, and new product lines like aluminum knuckles.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Management targets approximately 10% topline growth for FY25, aiming for around Rs. 4,800 crores revenue. - Key growth drivers include alloy wheels, exports, and tractor businesses growing by 10-12%, enhancing absolute per wheel margins. - Steel wheel passenger business is expected to grow around 10.6% in volume and revenue. - Tractor business projected to achieve 12% growth, supported by long-term agreements. - EBITDA per wheel margins expected to improve due to price corrections and growth in higher-margin product segments. - Debt levels anticipated to peak in FY24, with subsequent decline through accrual-based repayments and limited CAPEX funding needs. - The acquisition of AMW and introduction of aluminum knuckles add potential upside to earnings. - Overall profit, EPS improvement expected as price adjustments and operational efficiencies materialize in 1Q FY25 and beyond.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The management mentioned having an order book extending up to 2027, indicating strong visibility on future orders. - They are focused on expanding markets beyond India and growing volumes consistently. - The aluminum knuckles business, a new vertical since last year, has signed up with two OEMs and is expected to add extra revenues starting September. - For alloy wheels, the company is gearing up for increased market share, including new model refreshes for Maruti with potential orders worth Rs. 45-50 crores. - Capacity expansions are underway, including using equipment from AMW for new CV capacity in Jamshedpur, indicating readiness to cater to increased demand. - While no exact total orderbook value was disclosed, the sustained capacity expansions and multi-year order visibility underline a healthy pending order pipeline.