Steel Strips Wheels Ltd
Q2 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis
Auto Components
margin: Category 3orderbook: Yesfundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Current FY capex is approximately INR 280-300 crores, focused on alloy wheels and knuckles expansion (Page 15).
- Expansion of AMW capacity: 0.5 million capacity shifted to Jamshedpur; added 0.35-0.4 million capacity in Dappar for tractor capability; remaining 0.5 million capacity usage plans to be clarified next quarter (Pages 13-15).
- New knuckle capacity of 1 million expected by March/April 2026, adding to existing 0.5 million capacity, with order book of ~900,000 units for FY '26-27 (Page 17).
- Long-term and short-term debt expected to be INR 850-900 crores by year-end to support capex; long-term around INR 450 crores at 7-7.5% cost (Page 20).
- Plans for a wholly owned subsidiary in the European Union to handle business awarded by OEMs and potentially facilitate manufacturing (Page 11).
- Focus on capacity optimization and expansion to meet demand and de-risking strategy in CV and PV segments (Pages 12-13).
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Domestic alloy wheel segment expected to grow at ~11-12% in the current year (Page 7).
- Export alloy wheel volumes anticipated to grow around 18-20%, with Europe showing strong inquiries and South America having healthy potential (Pages 7-8).
- Overall company volume growth expected to be around 9-10%, with value growth higher due to increased alloy and CV segments, plus export growth (Page 6).
- Alloy wheels penetration in PV segment projected to increase from 38-39% to around 48-50% over 2-3 years (Page 14).
- Aluminum knuckles expected to grow at 30-35% over 5 years due to low base and EV safety trends (Page 18).
- Capacity ramp-up to 1.5 million alloy wheels annually by early 2027; monthly production expected to reach 65,000-75,000 units by Q1 2027 (Page 20).
- EBITDA per wheel expected to improve with volume growth, contingent on market conditions (Page 9).
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- PAT growth has been flat over the last 3-4 years primarily due to increased depreciation and finance costs from back-to-back capex (alloy wheel expansion, knuckles facility) (Page 16-17).
- Depreciation increased from ~INR25 crores to about INR30 crores per quarter; annualized depreciation is now ~INR120 crores vs. ~INR101 crores earlier (Page 17).
- Finance cost rose due to higher capex but is decreasing quarter-on-quarter (Page 17).
- Capex is stabilizing, so incremental revenue benefits should improve PAT going forward (Page 17).
- EBITDA per wheel held steady at ~INR261.7 in Q1 and is expected to improve with rising alloy and knuckle volumes (Page 9).
- Operating expenses were front-loaded in Q1 (repairs/maintenance); normalization will help future EBITDA margins (Page 16).
- Volume growth outlook: domestic alloy wheel growth ~11-12%, export volumes ~18-20%, overall volume growth ~9-10% anticipated (Page 6-7).
- Company targets 15% overall top-line growth if volumes sustain (Page 16).
- Increased utilization in knuckles and alloy wheels capacity expected to drive future earnings growth (Page 19-20).
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The company is actively discussing the order book and developments with both domestic and international market customers.
- Current annual manufacturing capacity is 1.5 million units, with plans to expand beyond based on demand.
- The pace of capacity utilization is ramping up, targeting 65,000 to 75,000 units per month by January-March 2027.
- For aluminum knuckles, current revenue outlook includes approximately 900,000 units for FY '26-'27.
- There are ongoing discussions regarding utilization of a 5 million smaller wheels capacity, presently underutilized but expected to be optimized.
- Recent allocation includes a nomination for close to INR 300 crores business from European OEMs.
- Export order targets: INR 600 crores planned for the current year, with a potential to reach INR 1,000 crores over the next 3-4 years.
- The company is optimistic about order growth in Europe and South America despite uncertainties like U.S. tariffs.
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The company is undertaking capex of roughly INR 280-300 crores in the current financial year for alloy wheel and knuckles expansion.
- About 50% of this capex will be funded through debt.
- The net debt position is expected to be in the range of INR 850-900 crores by the year-end.
- No explicit mention of new equity fundraising was made in the provided transcript pages.
- The focus is on managing and optimizing existing debt with capex-related borrowings.
