Steel Strips Wheels Ltd
Q3 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis
Auto Components
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Steel Strips Wheels Limited is planning to take fresh debt in H2 FY '26 for knuckle expansion.
- The knuckle expansion capex is around INR130 crores, aiming to increase capacity from 0.3 million to 0.5 million initially, with potential further expansion.
- Current total debt (long-term and short-term) is around INR902 crores as of September.
- Remaining debt maturity for H2 is approximately INR40 crores.
- The company expects total debt to close at around INR950 to INR960 crores by the end of FY '26.
- No specific mentions of equity fundraising were made in the call transcript on page 16 or preceding pages.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Planned total capex for FY '26 is around INR250 crores, with INR115 crores already spent in H1 FY '26.
- Major focus on knuckle plant expansion from 0.3 million to 0.5 million capacity, costing approximately INR130 crores.
- Additional knuckle capacity of 0.5 million under discussion, expected operational by Sept/Oct 2026.
- Alloy wheel capacity to expand from 4.2 million to 5 million; overall capacity aimed to reach 5 million wheels.
- INR88-90 crores capex for adding 1 million flow formed wheels within the 5 million capacity to enhance capability (not capacity).
- INR30 crores planned for paint shop facility upgrades to meet new tinted wheel demand.
- Future capitalizations expected around INR300-350 crores by March 2026.
- Focus on capacity addition mainly for aluminum wheels and knuckles to capture lightweighting and aluminization trends.
- Strategic collaboration discussions ongoing in Europe but no major acquisitions planned unless at steep discounts.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Volume growth expected to be modest at 2-3% for the current year due to export challenges, down from an anticipated 5-6% at the start (Page 7).
- Domestic market shows positive trends with growth in two-wheelers, passenger vehicles (8-10%), and tractors (8-10%) (Page 10). Commercial vehicles (CV) expected to be flat to +2% (Page 10).
- Export growth under pressure due to US tariffs; around INR50 crores quarterly U.S. revenues lost leading to margin impact (Page 14).
- European export share rising from 32% to 52%, expected to provide some growth offset (Page 9). New programs with European OEMs underway (Page 9).
- Capacity expansions: Knuckle capacity increasing from 0.3 to 1 million units by Sep/Oct 2026, expected to generate INR240-270 crores revenue at peak (Page 13). Alloy wheel capacity expanding from 4.2 to 5 million (Page 11).
- Overall target: INR4,800 crores revenue this year despite export challenges; future growth prospects tied to tariff resolutions and capacity ramp-up (Page 7).
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Management anticipates a steady volume growth of about 2-3% for the full year FY '26, down from an earlier expected 5-6%, mainly due to export uncertainties and U.S. tariffs.
- EBITDA per wheel targets: near-term milestone of INR 260-265, progressing to INR 300+ levels over 2-3 years as capacity expansions and higher-margin businesses mature.
- Alloy wheels segment is expected to continue strong growth, increasing its revenue share beyond the current 36%, supporting margin stability.
- Aluminum knuckles segment is already breakeven and expected to scale capacity to 0.5 million units by Q4 FY '26 / Q1 FY '27, contributing positively to EBITDA.
- Export challenges, especially U.S. tariffs, have caused a revenue and margin hit (~INR 50 crores revenue lost and INR 8-10 crores margin deficit per quarter); resolution would enable margin recovery.
- Overall EBITDA for FY '26 expected flattish (~INR 470-480 crores) with margin recovery dependent on removal of tariff-related barriers.
In summary, cautious growth with margin improvement expected as export issues resolve and new capacities ramp up.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The knuckle segment had a revenue of approximately INR33 crores in H1 FY '26.
- For H2 FY '26, an additional INR38 crores to INR40 crores revenue from knuckles is anticipated.
- Total revenue for knuckles in FY '26 is expected around INR75 crores to INR80 crores.
- Four programs are currently running for knuckles; two more programs are yet to start.
- For next financial year, the knuckle capacity (0.5 million units) is expected to be fully sold out, generating around INR100 crores to INR115 crores revenue.
- Capacity addition discussions ongoing with customers to add another INR15 crores to INR20 crores revenue starting from Sept/Oct 2026 over 4-5 months.
- Regarding European acquisition, discussions for collaborative efforts are underway with some European aluminum and steel wheel factories, though outright purchase is considered only at steep discounts.
- The company remains focused on growing domestic and European businesses while awaiting favorable tariff changes for U.S. exports.
