Sterling Tools Ltd
Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Auto Components
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No specific current or future fundraising plans through debt or equity are mentioned in the transcript.
- When asked about investment from Gtake in the subsidiary, the management indicated uncertainty regarding the timing and value of such investment, suggesting no imminent fundraising there.
- CAPEX plans are underway with internal funding: ₹50 crores plus for the current year and ₹28 crores planned for expansions in FY '24, with no mention of external financing.
- Management stated many plans are dynamic, and they will update once finalized, but no explicit mention of raising funds through debt or equity at this time.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- The consolidated CAPEX plan for the current year (FY '24) is over ₹50 crores, and they are on track to complete this investment.
- The bulk of the investments will be in new businesses; standalone business CAPEX will mainly be for maintenance.
- FY '25 CAPEX planning is underway but still dynamic; final figures expected in about three months.
- For the SGEM (subsidiary) business, the CAPEX plan was ₹28 crores for FY '24, with about ₹5 crores spent in H1 and the balance expected by March 31.
- Capacity expansion in SGEM is ongoing and on track, aiming to utilize the full planned CAPEX.
- Future CAPEX and investment numbers will be communicated once finalized, given the many "moving pieces" currently affecting planning.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Sterling Tools aims to grow faster than the industry despite industry growth slowing to about 1%.
- They expect moderate top-line growth in fasteners and electric vehicle (EV) segments, with some temporary dips due to policy changes and product realignment.
- Partnership with Hyundai Kia Group is expected to contribute to future growth, though exact FY'25-'26 guidance is not provided yet.
- Three-wheeler EV volumes are decent with five active customers, while LCV EV product launches are anticipated soon.
- Capacity utilization is around 70%, with expansion plans, especially in the MCU segment, targeting increased output.
- Export opportunities are being explored but currently yield slow visibility.
- Growth in non-two-wheeler revenues reaching 50% by FY’25 is unlikely due to evolving industry timelines.
- Steady-state ROCE expected between 15%-20%, with MCU business margins steady at 7%-9%.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Sterling Tools expects standalone business EBITDA margins to approach around 15%, with current margins at 12.5% on a consolidated basis.
- The company anticipates maintaining or marginally improving their current revenue run rate into H2 FY '24 and beyond.
- Growth in FY '25-'26 is uncertain, particularly with the new partnership with Hyundai Kia Group, as product acquisitions are still evolving.
- Non-fastener subsidiary business revenue grew 111% in H1 FY '24 but faces challenges due to subsidy changes affecting EV volumes; strong growth is still targeted but not 2x as earlier projected.
- Capacity expansions, especially in the MCU segment, are underway to support future growth.
- The company aims for steady-state ROCE in the 15%-20% range.
- Overall, Sterling Tools is committed to outpacing industry growth at standalone and consolidated levels through customer acquisition, higher product content, and new product development.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Sterling Tools currently has 16 active customer contracts with vehicles sent for homologation using their products.
- There are about 40 additional engagements with prospective customers, indicating a healthy pipeline.
- Not all contracts are in high-volume production; some are in homologation or trial marketing phases.
- The company has multiple contracts with two-wheeler OEMs, including large players like Ola and others with varying volumes.
- They are also negotiating with large Tier-1 customers for export cycles, though visibility remains slow.
- The company tracks the number of contracts and customer engagements rather than a traditional order book due to the variable nature of vehicle launches and volumes.
- Growth visibility relies on customers' vehicle launches and volume ramps rather than fixed orders.
