Surya Roshni Ltd

Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Industrial Products

Full Stock Analysis
revenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yesfundraise: No informationcapex: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The company aims to become completely debt-free within the next 1.5 years; currently, it has only ₹404 crores of working capital debt remaining. - There is no mention of any new equity fundraising. - The company plans significant CAPEX of ₹300 to ₹400 crores over the next 2-3 years to expand capacity and invest in new plants. - CAPEX funding will be managed through internal accruals, promoter/shareholder funds, and efficient working capital management. - The company is focused on maintaining a lean and healthy balance sheet with positive cash flow and no long-term borrowings. - No specific plans were disclosed for raising fresh debt or equity in the near future.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Serious CAPEX plan of ₹300-400 crores planned over the next 2-3 years for growth and capacity enhancement. - ₹75 crores investment approved for setting up a 24-inch ERW pipe plant at the existing Bhuj facility, targeting peak turnover of ₹600 crores. - CAPEX to help reach nearly 1.5 million tons capacity in steel pipe segment within 4-5 years. - Focus on GP plant setup in Hindupur and DFT plant ramp-up in Gwalior contributing to capacity growth. - Continuous quarterly or alternate quarter investments to debottleneck and modernize existing plants. - Investment of ₹25 crores over 5 years under PLI scheme, ₹10 crores already invested, focused on innovation and smart lighting. - Expansion to enhance premium product manufacturing and gain export market share, especially for API and 24-inch ERW pipes. Overall, ongoing and planned CAPEX aims at capacity expansion, technology upgradation, and strengthening product mix for sustainable growth.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Targeting ₹3,250 crore in sales over the next 3 years, up from earlier ₹2,500 crore vision. - Expected 12%-15% CAGR growth in steel pipe volumes over next 2-3 years. - Aim to reach 1 million ton steel pipe sales by FY25 with EBITDA of ₹7,000 per ton. - Long-term goal to achieve 1.5 million ton capacity in steel pipe segment within 4-5 years via CAPEX of ₹300-400 crores. - Lighting segment targeting ₹2,500-3,250 crore sales with addition of new products worth ₹500-600 crore. - Professional lighting grew nearly 40% last year; expecting it to be a major growth driver. - Consumer durables and fan appliances grew 25%, seen as a new growth segment. - Volume growth for pipes expected at 12%-14% minimum for next year. - Expansion in export markets like US and growth in API and spiral pipes segments planned.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Surya Roshni targets a CAGR growth of 12% to 15% over the next 2-3 years. - They aim to sell 1 million tons of steel pipes by FY25 with an EBITDA margin of ₹7,000 per ton. - The company aspires to reach ₹1,000 crores EBITDA from ₹620 crores currently. - Lighting segment’s revenue target is ₹3,250 crores in next 3 years with an EBITDA of ₹450 crores. - EBITDA per ton benchmark achieved in FY23 is considered the minimum target for future. - Export markets, especially the US, and higher margin API pipes are expected to drive growth. - Working capital debt is expected to be eliminated within 1.5 years, improving financial health. - EBITDA per ton may normalize but will remain substantially better than earlier years. - Dividend payout total ₹7 per share recommended, signaling confidence in earnings sustainability.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The company mentioned that the pipeline stock and order booking for API pipes is in a good position. - There has been a de-growth in export orders to Europe and UK, but the US market has opened up for exports. - Orders for the domestic trade segment are already growing well. - There is optimism that export and API pipe orders will see better growth in the coming year. - The company targets a steel pipe volume growth of around 13-13.5% next year, moving from 785,000 tons to close to 900,000 tons. - The improved order book reflects good positioning in both domestic and select international markets, especially in the oil and gas pipe segment.