Synergy Green Industries Ltd

Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Industrial Products

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 1orderbook: Yes
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Current Capex underway includes: - Brownfield expansion from 30,000 to 45,000 tons capacity with an allocation of around Rs.60 crores. - Establishing in-house machining capacity of about 10,000 tons per annum (previously 100% outsourced), allocated Rs.67 crores. - Captive renewable power (solar project) expansion from 2 MW to 10 MW, with Rs.30 crores allocated; project already initiated. - Future Capex plans: - Greenfield project to increase capacity to 100,000 tons, estimated investment of Rs.400-500 crores (foundry Rs.250-300 crores + machining Rs.150 crores). - Planned start of the Greenfield capacity expansion around FY 2026-27. - Funding mix includes internal accruals, debt (Rs.95 crores debt sanctioned but not fully utilized), and potential market fundraising if required. - Strategic aims: - Margin expansion to 18-20% through operational reorganizations (e.g., renewable energy savings, process improvements). - Diversification across wind, non-wind, gearbox, and other sectors like mining and plastics injection.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Projecting around 20% revenue growth for FY26 and FY27 (Page 6). - Expected revenue to reach Rs. 370 crores for FY 2024-25 and Rs. 450 crores for FY 2025-26 based on order book projections (Page 5). - Targeting Rs. 550-600 crores in revenues at full capacity utilization after current Capex (Page 6 & 10). - Capacity utilization currently around 86%, expected to exceed 90% soon (Page 6). - Planning Greenfield expansion to increase capacity from 45,000 MT to 100,000 MT starting FY 26-27, triggered by market demand and capacity utilization (Page 10). - Direct exports anticipated to grow by 20% with total exports contributing ~35-40% to revenue (Page 11). - Volume growth supported by expansion of machining capacity and introduction of inhouse machining (Page 8). - Margins expected to improve alongside volume growth, aiding bottom-line expansion (Pages 6, 9, 14).
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Revenue growth for FY26 & FY27 is projected around 20% annually. - Current EBITDA margins are at approximately 14.5%, expected to expand by 250-350 basis points over the next 2 years after full Capex deployment, targeting around 18% EBITDA margin. - Profit before tax (PBT) and profit after tax (PAT) have shown significant growth; PBT jumped 42.5% in Q2 FY24 vs. Q2 FY23, with continued improvements expected. - Margins are expected to rise from current 13-14% levels to over 18% by end of next year, driven by operational efficiencies and in-house machining. - EPS will benefit from margin expansion and revenue growth, supported by stable commodity prices and an improving product mix. - Capex plans to increase capacity from 30,000 to 45,000 tons (and eventually to 100,000 tons) align with revenue and margin growth targets.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The company expects revenues around Rs. 370 crores for FY 2024-2025 and Rs. 450 crores for FY 2025-2026 based on executable order book projections. - Order book schedules indicate a growth trajectory aligned with these revenue targets. - Despite some moderation in demand from domestic wind and non-wind segments, strong order inflows in OEM export, direct exports, and gearbox segments support overall order book strength. - The company is managing order execution timelines carefully, with new capacity expansions planned to cater to growing order volumes. - The management expects to complete capacity expansions and increase production to meet the order book demand by the end of the next year, supporting targeted revenue growth of around 20% for the next two years.
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

No information is provided regarding the same in the latest conference call.