Tata Communications LtdQ4 FY23

Tata Communications Ltd Q4 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 1,780P/E: 48.3Market Cap: ₹50.2K CrSector: Telecom - Services

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 4

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • The company aims for sustained double-digit revenue growth, having achieved this for the last three consecutive quarters and the full fiscal year FY23.
  • Digital portfolio growth accelerated to 40% of order booking in FY23, reflecting confidence in expanding digital services.
  • The mix within the data business is expected to shift to 50:50 between core connectivity and digital services, with digital services targeting a 25% CAGR.
  • Growth drivers include next-gen connectivity, new products (e.g., MOVE TM, NetFoundry, CPaaS, Cloud SIM), and expanding global sales and product organizations.
  • Large deals ($1 million plus) in both domestic and international markets have seen significant growth.
  • Management anticipates milestone-based investments to sustain growth with potential transformative deals leading to rapid growth spurts.
  • Execution is expected to improve as supply chain constraints ease, supporting revenue acceleration.
  • The company remains cautious but confident of maintaining the growth momentum despite macroeconomic challenges.

See what Tata Communications Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

  • There is no specific mention of any current or planned new fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
  • The company has been focusing on reducing net debt, which has consistently come down due to strong cash flow generation.
  • Net debt to EBITDA has improved to 1.3x from 1.6x previously, indicating better leverage.
  • Capex guidance stands at $250-$300 million for the next 3-4 years, funded within approved budgets.
  • Investments in opex and capex are milestone-based, with spending calibrated to growth and returns.
  • The company prefers to fund growth from internal cash flow and maintain ROCE above 25%, rather than relying on new external fundraising.

See what Tata Communications Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Tata Communications plans to maintain capital expenditure (capex) in the range of $250 to $300 million annually for the next 3 to 4 years.
  • Current capex spent is lower than guidance due to supply chain delivery delays and better payment terms.
  • Replacement capex on fiber is excluded from the $250-$300 million guidance.
  • Investments are targeted to support the ambition of reaching a 50:50 mix between Digital and Core businesses.
  • The company is focusing on strategic investments in new age technologies and products (e.g., MOVE TM, CPaaS, IoT, SASE & Security, Media) poised for significant growth in 5 to 7 years.
  • Operating expenses and capex investments are milestone-driven, with investments calibrated to balance financial metrics and growth aspirations.
  • Front-end hiring and investment in product engineering are ongoing to fuel innovation and future growth.

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Margin guidance

Category 4
  • The company aims to maintain double-digit revenue growth, having delivered this for the last three consecutive quarters and full fiscal year (FY23).
  • EBITA margin is expected to stay within the 23%-25% range, targeting the low end (around 23%) in FY24 due to ongoing investments.
  • Effective tax rate (ETR) for FY24 is expected to improve from FY23's 14%, likely better than 25-26%, supported by utilization of net operating losses in international geographies.
  • ROCE guidance remains above 25%, signaling efficient capital use despite increased investments in growth areas.
  • Margins may temporarily dip below 23% due to milestone-driven investments but are managed dynamically.
  • Growth in digital platforms and services, particularly in DPS revenue (up 21% YoY), supports optimism on sustained profit expansion.
  • Long-term ambition is to balance 50:50 between digital services and core connectivity, aiming for significant scale-up within 5-7 years.

Order book

Yes
  • Order booking has significantly improved with a strong funnel and accelerated digital portfolio growth (40% of order book in FY23).
  • Large deals (>$1 million) have seen a significant jump in both India and international markets.
  • There is some churn due to customer office shifts and price churn, but new order bookings add on top to compensate.
  • Order book growth is supported by continued investments in product, sales, and delivery staff.
  • Predictability of order book from usage-based revenue is low; usage contributes marginally to order book valuation.
  • The company refrains from giving specific order book numbers to avoid confusion due to churn and variable usage.
  • Investments in new products expect benefits mainly from FY25 onward; operating leverage from stage 30 products expected to kick in FY24.
  • The business remains confident of maintaining double-digit growth driven by improved order bookings and large enterprise deals.

How does Tata Communications Ltd rank vs peers in Telecom - Services?

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