TD Power Systems Ltd
Q4 FY27 Earnings Call Analysis
Electrical Equipment
fundraise: Nocapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The management indicated that they will not make any bulk capacity investments until FY '28.
- They mentioned that between FY '28 and FY '30, they will evaluate the need for further capacity expansion based on market growth.
- No explicit mention was made about new fundraising through debt or equity in the current call.
- Investments planned before FY '28 are focused on automation, lean manufacturing, and specific areas like 2-pole generator production and motors.
- Any major investment decisions or capacity expansions likely to be assessed around next year (i.e., around early 2027).
- No clear indication of timing or nature (debt/equity) of future fundraising was provided.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- No bulk capacity investments planned until FY '28; focus will be on utilizing existing assets fully until then.
- Investment will be made in 2-pole generator production and motors business starting FY '28 onwards.
- Continuing investments in automation and lean manufacturing to improve production efficiency.
- Land available at the first plant allows for potential capacity duplication in the future; a decision on further bulk investments expected around early next year (2027) based on market growth.
- No immediate large-scale capex planned but readiness for capacity expansion if market demand sustains post-FY '28.
This strategy balances steady growth with cautious capital deployment, maintaining flexibility to scale as needed.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- FY '27 guidance is set at INR 2,200+ crores, considered conservative, with quarterly inflows around INR 575-600 crores expected.
- Management anticipates further upside potential in order inflows in the second half of FY '27.
- Capacity utilization is increasing; ramp-up to INR 550-575 crores per quarter in Q4 FY '26 and around INR 600 crores per quarter from Q1 FY '27 onward.
- No bulk capacity investments planned till FY '28; focus is on making current production more efficient.
- Post FY '28, potential new investments expected in 2-pole generator production and motor business.
- Sustained growth expected in both domestic and export markets, including gas turbines, gas engines, steam turbines, hydro turbines, and motors.
- Long-term visibility and demand from global OEMs are strong up to 2030.
- Motor business expected to grow moderately at 10-15% per year.
Overall, steady volume and revenue growth with capacity ramp-up and conservative guidance aiming for expansion beyond FY '28.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- FY '27 guidance is INR 2,200 crores revenue, considered conservative, with potential upside in the second half.
- Order inflow expected around INR 575-600 crores per quarter in FY '27, matching production ramp-up.
- EBITDA margin around 18.3% for nine months FY '26; gross margin expected to sustain near 35%.
- Profit after tax is growing (41% increase over previous year nine months).
- Strong demand outlook up to 2030 from global OEMs, especially in gas turbines and engines.
- Export-driven growth continues; 79% of order inflows are exports.
- Copper price hikes will be passed on to customers, thus protecting margin.
- No bulk capacity additions planned until FY '28, focusing on efficiency and automation.
- Motor and new generator business expected to ramp up in calendar year 2027.
- Strong cash position maintained, supporting steady profit growth.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The order book for the Manufacturing segment stands at INR 18.45 billion.
- INR 15.6 billion pertains to manufacturing business.
- INR 2.85 billion is the railway business (split as INR 1.87 billion Indian locomotive and INR 0.98 billion new orders).
- Exports and deemed exports make up 75% of pending orders, excluding railway orders.
- Order inflow during the quarter reached a record INR 6.56 billion, up 61% YoY.
- Nine-month order inflow from direct and deemed exports is INR 12.05 billion, up 62% YoY.
- 79% of nine-month order inflow is exports; 21% domestic.
- Growth in pending orders for Generators and Motors (ex-railways) is 54% compared to FY '25 and 120% compared to FY '24, indicating more than doubling in 24 months.
- Guidance for FY '27 order booking is around INR 2,200+ crores, with expected quarterly inflows of INR 575-600 crores.
