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Tolins Tyres LtdQ3 FY24

Tolins Tyres Ltd

Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • **Strong Growth Outlook**: The company targets progressive increase in capacity utilization to 75% over the next few years, enabling higher production and sales volumes.
  • **Revenue Growth**: Achieved 74% YoY growth in H1 FY25 with Rs. 153.18 crores revenue, indicating robust demand.
  • **Segment Mix Stability**: Maintains 75% revenue from tread rubber (replacement market) and 25% from tyres, focusing on two-wheelers and tractor tyres.
  • **OEM Sales Expansion**: Plans to increase OEM sales from current 6-10% to 10-15% over the next 1-2 years.
  • **Domestic Demand**: Benefiting from a supplier's market with strong domestic demand supported by government bans on Chinese imports and growing automobile/commercial vehicle sectors.
  • **Export Opportunities**: Selective export focus with current exports to 18 countries; potential to expand into developed markets.
  • **Product Innovation**: Launches of new tyre models and expansion into recycling and sustainable products expected.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Tolins Tyres targets increasing capacity utilization to 75% over the next few years, aiming for operational efficiency and higher revenue.
  • The company expects strong domestic and export market demand to sustain, supported by factors like the ban on Chinese imports and growth in 2-wheeler segments.
  • Revenue is expected to grow, with a hinted topline around Rs. 300 crores for the year at 55%-60% utilization.
  • Profitability metrics aim for sustainable gross margins of ~30%, EBITDA around 20%, and PAT between 10%-12%.
  • Company expects improved cash flow from operating activities starting December quarter.
  • Management optimistic about continued margin improvement through supply chain efficiencies and low raw material prices.
  • Strategic growth via product range expansion, OEM client additions, and potential acquisitions planned.
  • Earnings growth evidenced by 46.69% PAT increase in H1 FY25, reflecting positive momentum post-IPO debt repayment.

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Fundraise plans

  • No explicit mention of any current or future fundraising through debt or equity in the call.
  • The company became debt-free using IPO proceeds, repaying almost Rs. 79 crores of total debt, reducing total debt by 85%.
  • IPO proceeds were primarily used to repay outstanding loans, enhance long-term working capital, invest in subsidiary operations, and general corporate purposes.
  • Management indicated no immediate need for fresh CAPEX investments over the next 2-3 years, focusing instead on better capacity utilization with existing facilities.
  • Future expansions or strategic acquisitions are mentioned as part of growth plans but without specific details on corresponding fund-raising.
  • Working capital needs post-IPO are addressed through the equity infusion from the IPO and internal accruals.

Order book

  • The company has seen strong demand growth, both in OEM business and retail segments.
  • Several new OEM customers, especially in the two-wheeler industry, have been added and supplies have started.
  • Revenues show a significant increase: Q2 FY25 revenue was Rs. 76.88 crores, H1 FY25 revenue at Rs. 153.18 crores, a 74% YoY growth.
  • Robust demand allows for maintaining and expanding capacity utilization from current ~35-37% towards 75% over next 2-3 years.
  • Demand-supply dynamics favor suppliers due to post-COVID auto industry growth and import bans on Chinese goods, creating a very robust domestic market.
  • The company has been selective in exports with about 8-10% revenue from export markets in 18 countries.
  • Working capital infusion post IPO and debt repayment enhances capacity to fulfill growing orders.
  • Overall, the order book is healthy with increasing client additions, and the company expects continued strong order inflow.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Tolins Tyres does not plan to invest fresh money into CAPEX over the next 2-3 years.
  • The company aims to increase capacity utilization to about 75% in this period by optimizing existing resources.
  • Focus will be on ramping up production and meeting growing demand without new capital investments.
  • The IPO proceeds have been used to repay debt and infuse long-term working capital, enhancing capacity utilization.
  • The company is actively pursuing strategic acquisitions in the rubber and rubber-based products sector to broaden market access and enhance capabilities.
  • Additionally, Tolins is committed to expanding into the tyre recycling industry, focusing on sustainable manufacturing practices.
  • Any future announcements related to recycling and Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) initiatives will be made at the appropriate time.

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