Trident Ltd
Q4 FY20 Earnings Call Analysis
Textiles & Apparels
fundraise: Yescapex: Norevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No significant new CAPEX other than approved captive co-generation Steam (2 x 150 TPH) and Power Plant (2 x 30 MW) facility in Budni, Madhya Pradesh.
- Financial closure and legal documentation completed for a Power Project in Budni; disbursement as of 31 December 2018 is Nil.
- Expected drawdown of about INR 150 crore by end of FY20 for this project.
- Small maintenance CAPEXs (~INR 100 crore annually) continue for de-bottlenecking and capacity upgrades.
- No mention of new equity fundraising; focus is on manageable debt with Net Debt to Equity ratio at 0.7x as of December 2018.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- No significant CAPEX planned for FY19/FY20 other than implementation of captive co-generation steam (2 x 150 TPH) and power plant (2 x 30 MW) facility in Budni, Madhya Pradesh; Board approved with details provided in Q1 FY19 release.
- Ongoing small maintenance CAPEXs such as de-bottlenecking/upgradation of capacities amounting to approx. INR 100 crores per year.
- Expect drawdown of about INR 150 crore by end of FY20 for power project in Budni.
- Focus on strategic investments in US distribution: enlarged team, product development & innovation, improved product functionality, and branding initiatives to sustain growth.
- Emphasis on customer acquisition and capacity utilization through reviewing retail white spaces, differentiated products, tailor-made strategies for new customers, stronger US team, and competitive pricing.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
Future Growth Expectations for Trident Ltd:
- EBITDA margins expected to be around 18% to 22% sustainably.
- Revenue growth anticipated at 10% - 15% year on year for FY20 & FY21.
- Bed Linen sales volume grew 41.7% Y-o-Y; Bath Linen grew 10.1% Y-o-Y.
- Target utilization levels for FY20: Bed Linen ~75% (+/-5%), Bath Linen ~60% (+/-5%).
- Marketing initiatives planned to improve capacity utilization and customer acquisition include:
- Exploring white spaces in retail matrix.
- Introducing differentiated, innovative products.
- Tailored strategies for new customers.
- Strengthening US team and closer customer engagement.
- Competitive pricing to sustain growth.
- Small maintenance CAPEX (~INR 100 crores per year) for capacity upgradation ongoing.
- Stable cotton prices expected unless affected by geopolitical trade issues.
- Efforts underway to grow US distribution and product branding to sustain growth momentum.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The company expects sustainable EBITDA margins around 18% to 22%.
- Revenue growth is projected at 10% to 15% year-on-year.
- Q3 FY19 saw a profit after tax of INR 112.1 crores with EPS of INR 2.20.
- The company targets continued growth driven by volume and realization increases, especially in the Home Textile segment.
- Strategic initiatives in product innovation, US market expansion, and capacity utilization improvements are aimed at sustaining growth.
- Small maintenance CAPEX of approximately INR 100 crores annually supports operational efficiencies.
- Stable cotton prices are expected to support cost management unless geopolitical trade issues arise.
- Overall outlook indicates steady earnings and margin growth from FY20 onwards.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The demand for Paper has been robust at the beginning of the publishing season in India (Q3 & Q4 FY19), with order book showing healthy growth.
- There is optimism to sustain growth in the Home Textile business going forward, suggesting a strong order pipeline.
- Specific figures for the current or expected order book/pending orders are not explicitly provided in the document.
- The company expects to continue surpassing guidance on revenue and margins, indicating positive order inflow and backlog.
- The focus on US distribution expansion, product development, and innovation supports expectation of increasing orders.
- Overall, the order book appears strong, particularly in Paper and Home Textile segments, although exact quantification is not disclosed.
