Triveni Turbine Ltd

Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Electrical Equipment

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- There is no specific mention of current or planned new fundraising through debt or equity in the provided content. - The company has a substantial cash reserve (~₹747 crore) and operates on negative working capital, which reduces immediate financing needs. - The management adopts a prudent cash view and maintains a payback policy to shareholders, including buybacks, but any new buyback or capital raising decisions will be made by the Board. - Expansion plans, especially international growth, will be funded through internal accruals rather than immediate capital raising. - Overall, the company focuses on conservative and focused growth without explicit plans for new fundraising announced.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- The Board has not taken any decision on specific capital investments or new setups as of now. - Management and Board continuously explore routes for international expansion. - The U.S. market, due to its large size and current growth opportunities, is a key focus area. - Entry strategies like refurbishment are considered, especially where installed base is limited (e.g., U.S.). - Cash reserves (~₹747 crore) are strong; the company operates on negative working capital with about ₹400 crore customer advances. - Company maintains a prudent view on cash and retains a shareholder payback policy. - No announced changes in approach to buybacks or other shareholder return mechanisms; decisions on capital investments are to be made by the Board as appropriate.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Company confident of sustaining strong growth trajectory; Q1 FY24 turnover grew 45% YoY. - Indian steam turbine market expected to grow around 25% annually this year. - Enquiry book expanded by 56% domestically and over 22% internationally, indicating robust demand. - International markets anticipated to contribute significantly to future growth, with focus on USA, Europe, Southeast Asia, and Africa. - Expansion in aftermarket services and refurbishment business seen as major growth drivers. - Growth driven by renewable energy sectors including biomass, waste heat recovery, and decentralized power solutions. - Sustained profitability targeted with PBT margin above 20%. - Growth expected from both new product sales and aftermarket/refurbishment segments. - Long-term trend favors faster international business growth compared to domestic market. - Growth anticipated to be steady and sustainable rather than sharp spikes seen in past cycles.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Triveni Turbines is confident of sustaining strong growth with Q1 FY24 showing a 45% increase in turnover and 50-59% growth in EBITDA and profit after tax respectively. - The company expects the Indian steam turbine market to grow around 25% annually, supported by a robust enquiry book. - International business growth is anticipated to outpace domestic growth in the long term due to expanded global presence. - The order book provides visibility for about 9-10 months of revenue, indicating sustained revenue flow. - Margins are expected to be maintained above a 20% PBT level, balancing growth with profitability. - The refurbishment business and aftersales segment are targeted for rapid expansion, contributing to margin stability and earnings growth. - Commitment to maintaining payback policies to shareholders ensures a balanced approach to profitability and capital management.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Record closing order book as of June 30, 2023, at ₹14.05 billion, up 31.4% year-on-year (Page 3). - Order booking for Q1 FY 24 was ₹4.53 billion, an increase of 26% year-on-year (Page 3). - Order book provides approximately 9 to 10 months of revenue visibility (Page 10). - Domestic order book increased by 56% in Q1, with the international enquiry book growing over 22% (Page 11). - International orders contributed 53% of overall order booking in the quarter, growing 128% (Page 3). - The robust enquiry pipeline suggests sustained order booking growth across domestic and international markets (Pages 3-6, 11). - Refurbishment orders and aftermarket segments are also contributing significantly to the order book (Pages 14-17).