TVS SupplyQ3 FY24

TVS Supply Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹128P/E: 81.1Market Cap: ₹5.7K CrSector: Transport Services

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • The company aims for steady growth with a target revenue of $2.5 billion and $100 million in profits by FY'27.
  • Business development continues to add about 10% of total revenue consistently, with a strong new business pipeline of over INR 4,000 crores.
  • While the Network Solutions segment has seen some volume declines due to global freight trends and disruptions like the Red Sea issue, the company anticipates volumes to stabilize or slightly improve, especially in key customers.
  • The ISCS segment’s large deals take longer to mature but show significant pipeline health and potential for mid-teens percentage growth in new business contributions.
  • Pricing in the freight business is expected to remain stable in the near term, with a temporary markup due to the Red Sea disruption.
  • Management expects to provide clearer revenue and EBITDA guidance after Q4 FY24 results.

See what TVS Supply management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

  • The company has repaid all its long-term borrowings using IPO proceeds and other funds; currently, only working capital debt remains on the balance sheet.
  • Weighted average interest cost on debt is around 7.5%, with annual interest expected around INR 60-65 crores.
  • There is no explicit mention of any immediate plans for fresh fundraising through debt or equity in the call.
  • The Board has approved an enabling resolution of INR 250 crores to allow management discretion to quickly deploy funds for capital investments or large deals if required over the next 18 to 24 months.
  • This resolution provides flexibility but does not imply immediate utilization or fresh fundraising.

See what TVS Supply management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The Board of TVS Supply Chain Solutions approved an enabling resolution for capital investments up to INR 250 crores.
  • This provision allows management to quickly deploy funds for large deals or support subsidiaries globally if initial investment is needed.
  • The resolution is not an immediate commitment to deploy INR 250 crores but provides flexibility for potential investments over the next 18 to 24 months.
  • The enabling resolution supports large, multi-year capital commitments that some large customers have been requesting.
  • India’s marginal cost of cash is now close to the rest of the world, making deployment of funds from India overseas feasible and cost-effective.
  • For example, the Centrica deal involved considerations for capital investments though the customer eventually made the capital commitment themselves.
  • The management expects the full run rate contribution from Centrica starting Q4 FY24, indicating strategic growth investments are already underway.

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How does TVS Supply rank vs peers in Transport Services?

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