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Uno Minda LtdQ3 FY23

Uno Minda Ltd Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 1,136P/E: 53.2Market Cap: ₹64.8K CrSector: Auto Components

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Uno Minda has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 26% Y-o-Y increase in Q2 FY '24, outperforming largely flat industry volumes.
  • Long-term guidance targets growth at 1.5x industry growth rate (e.g., if industry grows 10%, Uno Minda aims for 15% growth).
  • For H2 FY '24, the company expects similar growth momentum if industry volumes remain robust.
  • The aftermarket business and international sales are growing but at a slower pace than OEM and domestic sales.
  • New product launches, capacity expansions, and increasing penetration in EV components (controllers, sensors) support revenue growth.
  • EV revenue is expected to cross INR 600 crores this year and potentially exceed INR 1,000 crores by FY26.
  • Penetration in alloy wheels and advanced lighting products are growth drivers.
  • SOP of new two-wheeler EV OEMs and new product SOPs expected to contribute to medium-term growth.
  • Capex planned to support capacity expansions to meet future demand.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company achieved a strong H1 FY24 with 24% revenue growth and 29% PAT growth, indicating robust performance.
  • Revenue growth outlook for H2 FY24 is expected to be similar to H1, contingent on industry volume trends. The company targets growth at 1.5x the industry growth rate consistently.
  • Margins are guided to remain around 11% (±0.5%), with temporary compression due to competitive pricing on new business and ramp-up of new plants. Margin improvement is targeted medium to long term but exact timing is uncertain.
  • EBITDA improvements expected as new plants stabilize and cost optimization initiatives take effect; some businesses like Minda Kyoraku aiming to turn PBT positive soon.
  • No PLI scheme incentives expected to boost margins in the current fiscal year.
  • Capex investments and new product launches (e.g., EV components) support medium to long-term growth potential.

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Fundraise plans

  • Currently, no specific mention of new equity fundraising in the document.
  • Incremental debt of around INR100 crores was taken for land bank acquisition during H1 FY24.
  • Net debt stood at INR1,190 crores as of September 2023, up from INR1,100 crores in March 2023.
  • Capex of INR540 crores includes land cost; capex for strategic investments like alloy wheel expansion will be timed accordingly.
  • The company expects no additional fund requirements for operational and other capex apart from land-related strategic investments.
  • Discussions ongoing with the government for acquiring around 100 acres land to align payments with debt.
  • Finance costs increased due to incremental borrowing and RBI rate hikes; significant borrowings are on floating rate to benefit from future rate cuts.

Order book

Yes
  • The company has secured new businesses, including orders in the lighting segment such as complex taillamps with advanced technology.
  • New EV orders have been received but at very competitive, margin-dilutive prices.
  • There is capacity expansion, including discussions about new locations and land purchase for incremental capacity beyond 120K units.
  • Rolling indents from OEM customers are typically on a 2-3 month basis; current orders look better than the prior year partly due to a delayed festive season resulting in some inventory buildup.
  • Business is available but the company is cautious about fresh investments only if the pricing justifies returns, indicating ongoing negotiations around pricing and order volumes.
  • Overall, the outlook is positive with market share gains in several segments, though exact orderbook figures or pending orders are not explicitly quantified in the transcript.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Capex of INR540 crores includes INR110 crores for land acquisition; excluding land, capex is around INR430 crores.
  • Total expected capex for the year remains around INR700-800 crores, with additions for new alloy wheel project.
  • Alloy wheel project: INR542 crores expected over five years; phased expansion includes plants with capacities of 60K, 30K, and 30K wheels per month.
  • Strategic land bank acquisitions: Discussions ongoing for about 100 acres in Pune and three more land parcels in North, West, and South India for future expansions.
  • Capex timing aligned to business needs; no premature spending on plant consolidation.
  • EV-related capex ongoing; SOP for motor plant expected in January 2024.
  • Incremental debt of around INR100 crores incurred for land acquisition; current net debt-to-equity at 0.25.
  • Focus on building bigger, consolidated plants to achieve economies of scale and expedite expansions.

How does Uno Minda Ltd rank vs peers in Auto Components?

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1Uno Minda Ltd
Rev 2Mar 3

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