Varun Beverages Ltd
Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Beverages
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- There is no explicit mention of any new fundraising through debt or equity in the current transcript.
- The company states that four incremental plants (three in India and one in DRC) will be funded out of internal accruals.
- Net debt as of June 30, 2023, has decreased to Rs. 31,716 million from Rs. 34,096 million as of December 31, 2022.
- The management expects debt levels to come back closer to last year's level by year-end.
- CAPEX for the ongoing projects is primarily being funded internally, with no indication of raising fresh debt or equity.
- Financial leverage remains solid with a debt-equity ratio of 0.48x and debt-EBITDA ratio of 0.96x as of June 30, 2023.
In summary, there is no current plan for new debt or equity fundraising; expansion is largely funded through internal accruals.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Total CAPEX for H1 CY2023 is Rs. 1,900 crore, with cash outflow of Rs. 1,600 crore.
- CAPEX includes:
- Rs. 850 crore for new greenfield plants in Rajasthan (Bundi, Kota) and Jabalpur (MP).
- Rs. 650 crore for brownfield expansion in six existing facilities in India.
- Rs. 300 crore for brownfield expansion in international markets.
- Rs. 100 crore for land acquisition for future plants.
- Future CAPEX planned for CY2024, including Rs. 9,000 million in CWIP and capital advances for expansion in Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, and Odisha.
- Expected capitalization for CY24 around Rs. 2,400 - 2,500 crore.
- Plants underway to expand capacity, particularly for juices, dairy, and soft drinks, supporting double-digit volume growth.
- New facilities aimed to be operational by December to meet growing demand.
- Strategic exploration of South Africa market underway; no formal plans announced yet.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- H1 India growth was 11%; expectation for H2 to maintain similar growth (~11%-12%) if weather cooperates.
- International markets, especially Morocco and Zimbabwe, showing strong growth, contributing to volume increase.
- Dairy-based beverages expected to see significant growth from next year due to capacity expansion (tripling capacity).
- Gatorade anticipated to gain traction from next year following price reduction and product adjustments this year.
- New greenfield and brownfield plants coming online to support demand, ensuring no capacity shortfall from next year.
- Revenue potential from new CAPEX estimated at 1.8x–2x of invested amount after stabilization.
- Overall focus on expanding complete portfolio and distribution reach, especially in West, South, and East India, enabling growth in non-carbonated beverages.
- Growth dependent on weather conditions; favorable season may lead to better-than-expected volume and revenue growth.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The company expects a strong growth trajectory once new capacities, especially in juice and dairy categories, come online, with capacity tripling in these segments next year.
- Growth in international markets remains robust and is anticipated to continue.
- Domestic growth in H1 was 11%; future quarters could return to double-digit growth if weather conditions are favorable.
- EBITDA margin guidance remains stable at 21%-22%, with potential upside if commodity prices stay favorable or seasons improve.
- CAPEX of Rs. 1,900 crore (H1 CY2023) and continued investments indicate revenue potential of ~1.8x–2x CAPEX stabilization, targeting Rs. 5,500-5,800 crore revenue from Rs. 2,900 crore CAPEX.
- Gatorade growth is expected to accelerate from next year post pricing and product adjustments.
- Operating leverage and margin expansion are possible with improved volume growth and normal seasonality.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
The transcript does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders for Varun Beverages Limited. However, there are related insights regarding capacity and growth:
- The company is undertaking a Rs. 1900 crore CAPEX primarily in India to expand capacity.
- Post-CAPEX, the capacity will more than support double-digit volume growth.
- Revenue potential after full CAPEX stabilization can be approximately 1.8x-2x of the CAPEX amount, indicating expected growth in order intake and sales demand.
- Current capacity constraints exist in juices and dairy beverages, but the company is tripling dairy capacity to meet demand.
- No specific figures on order book or pending orders were provided.
If further detailed data on order book is needed, the Investor Relations team was suggested as the point of contact.
