Varun Beverages Ltd

Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Beverages

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
💰

fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- There is no explicit mention of any new fundraising through debt or equity in the current transcript. - The company states that four incremental plants (three in India and one in DRC) will be funded out of internal accruals. - Net debt as of June 30, 2023, has decreased to Rs. 31,716 million from Rs. 34,096 million as of December 31, 2022. - The management expects debt levels to come back closer to last year's level by year-end. - CAPEX for the ongoing projects is primarily being funded internally, with no indication of raising fresh debt or equity. - Financial leverage remains solid with a debt-equity ratio of 0.48x and debt-EBITDA ratio of 0.96x as of June 30, 2023. In summary, there is no current plan for new debt or equity fundraising; expansion is largely funded through internal accruals.
🏗️

capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Total CAPEX for H1 CY2023 is Rs. 1,900 crore, with cash outflow of Rs. 1,600 crore. - CAPEX includes: - Rs. 850 crore for new greenfield plants in Rajasthan (Bundi, Kota) and Jabalpur (MP). - Rs. 650 crore for brownfield expansion in six existing facilities in India. - Rs. 300 crore for brownfield expansion in international markets. - Rs. 100 crore for land acquisition for future plants. - Future CAPEX planned for CY2024, including Rs. 9,000 million in CWIP and capital advances for expansion in Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, and Odisha. - Expected capitalization for CY24 around Rs. 2,400 - 2,500 crore. - Plants underway to expand capacity, particularly for juices, dairy, and soft drinks, supporting double-digit volume growth. - New facilities aimed to be operational by December to meet growing demand. - Strategic exploration of South Africa market underway; no formal plans announced yet.
📊

revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- H1 India growth was 11%; expectation for H2 to maintain similar growth (~11%-12%) if weather cooperates. - International markets, especially Morocco and Zimbabwe, showing strong growth, contributing to volume increase. - Dairy-based beverages expected to see significant growth from next year due to capacity expansion (tripling capacity). - Gatorade anticipated to gain traction from next year following price reduction and product adjustments this year. - New greenfield and brownfield plants coming online to support demand, ensuring no capacity shortfall from next year. - Revenue potential from new CAPEX estimated at 1.8x–2x of invested amount after stabilization. - Overall focus on expanding complete portfolio and distribution reach, especially in West, South, and East India, enabling growth in non-carbonated beverages. - Growth dependent on weather conditions; favorable season may lead to better-than-expected volume and revenue growth.
📈

margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company expects a strong growth trajectory once new capacities, especially in juice and dairy categories, come online, with capacity tripling in these segments next year. - Growth in international markets remains robust and is anticipated to continue. - Domestic growth in H1 was 11%; future quarters could return to double-digit growth if weather conditions are favorable. - EBITDA margin guidance remains stable at 21%-22%, with potential upside if commodity prices stay favorable or seasons improve. - CAPEX of Rs. 1,900 crore (H1 CY2023) and continued investments indicate revenue potential of ~1.8x–2x CAPEX stabilization, targeting Rs. 5,500-5,800 crore revenue from Rs. 2,900 crore CAPEX. - Gatorade growth is expected to accelerate from next year post pricing and product adjustments. - Operating leverage and margin expansion are possible with improved volume growth and normal seasonality.
📋

orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

The transcript does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders for Varun Beverages Limited. However, there are related insights regarding capacity and growth: - The company is undertaking a Rs. 1900 crore CAPEX primarily in India to expand capacity. - Post-CAPEX, the capacity will more than support double-digit volume growth. - Revenue potential after full CAPEX stabilization can be approximately 1.8x-2x of the CAPEX amount, indicating expected growth in order intake and sales demand. - Current capacity constraints exist in juices and dairy beverages, but the company is tripling dairy capacity to meet demand. - No specific figures on order book or pending orders were provided. If further detailed data on order book is needed, the Investor Relations team was suggested as the point of contact.