Varun BeveragesQ3 FY24

Varun Beverages Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹420.55P/E: 42.0Market Cap: ₹1.4L CrSector: Beverages

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Consolidated sales volume grew 13.9% in CY2023, with double-digit growth in India (12.9%) and international markets (18%).
  • Net realization per case increased by 7% to Rs. 175.7, driven by a better mix of smaller SKUs and higher-value categories.
  • Capacity expansion: Peak month capacity in India to increase by ~45% over CY2022 base by CY2024, supporting volume growth.
  • Dairy-based beverages currently <0.5% of portfolio; aiming to double or exceed this share in 2024.
  • Value-added products like Tropicana juices and Gatorade capacity expanded by 200%, expected to be significant growth drivers.
  • Energy drink segment (Sting) is ~14-15% of portfolio with substantial growth potential remaining.
  • International markets expected to sustain healthy growth (~16% in Q4 CY2023; Zimbabwe grew 23% in CY2023).
  • Overall, organic growth targeted in the 12-15% range with new categories contributing incremental growth.

See what Varun Beverages management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • No explicit mention of any current or planned new fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
  • The company’s net debt as of December 31, 2023, stood at around Rs. 47,345 million with a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.67.
  • Debt is expected to have already peaked, with Rs. 1,300 crore raised for acquisitions equating to 2-3 months of cash profit.
  • CAPEX for 2024 is planned at approximately Rs. 3,600 crore (Rs. 3,000 crore India, Rs. 600 crore international), funded through operational cash flows without increasing debt-to-equity ratio.
  • Management expressed confidence in current cash flows and balance sheet strength, suggesting no major new fundraising needs anticipated at this time.

See what Varun Beverages management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Net CAPEX for CY2023 was approximately Rs. 2,100 crore, including greenfield and brownfield expansions.
  • Around Rs. 900 crore of incremental CWIP and capital advances pertained to Supa plant in Maharashtra, operational from January 2024.
  • For CY2024, planned CAPEX is about Rs. 3,600 crore: Rs. 3,000 crore in India and Rs. 600 crore internationally.
  • Rs. 1,200 crore of CAPEX cash outflow expected in CY2024 plus ongoing CWIP (~Rs. 500-600 crore).
  • Key projects:
  • - Gorakhpur plant
  • - Khurda (Orissa) plant completion within 1-2 months
  • - New territory in DRC with around Rs. 400 crore CAPEX
  • - Brownfield expansions (~Rs. 200 crore)
  • Additional investments include land acquisition (Buxar, Kangra) for future plants.
  • Joint venture with Indorama to set up PET recycling manufacturing by 2025, aiming to cover 20%-25% of PET requirement.
  • Overall capacity in India to increase by ~45% over CY2022 with ongoing strategic investments.

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