Vascon Engineers Ltd

Q4 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis

Realty

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 2orderbook: No
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Vascon plans to raise INR 70-80 crores capital in the near future to fund ongoing real estate projects, including 3 Mumbai projects and the Baner Pashan project. - The Mumbai projects' funding shortfall, initially expected to be raised via QIP, is now being met partly by GMP sale proceeds and partly by interim short-term borrowing. - No immediate plans for further QIP (equity fundraising) as market conditions are currently not favorable for equity issuance. - The interim short-term debt will be extinguished when the market is favorable to raise funds through equity mode. - For EPC business, there is a CC (cash credit) limit of INR 60-70 crores with interest around 10%, showing ongoing use of short-term debt. - The company remains bullish on future fundraising aligned with project timelines and market conditions but has no confirmed immediate new debt or equity fundraising besides stated short-term borrowing.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Vascon plans to invest around INR 70-80 crores in the near future for ongoing real estate projects: - Approximately INR 20-30 crores required for three Mumbai projects (shortfall after QIP and GMP sale proceeds). - INR 30-40 crores planned for the Baner Pashan project in Pune (~1 million sq ft). - Baner Pashan project funding will partly come from short-term capital and equity raise when market conditions improve; project launch expected post-2025 with construction starting earliest in 2026. - GMP sale proceeds (~INR 100 crores) already received and mostly used for Mumbai projects; additional short-term loans may be raised to fund approvals and early works. - No plans to hold commercial assets for rental income; preference for liquidating assets and reinvesting in new projects. - Future real estate projects target mid and upper-mid residential segments and commercial developments, excluding affordable housing.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- EPC segment shows strong growth, with Q3 FY25 revenue up 48% YoY and 9 months FY25 up 37% YoY. - Robust EPC order book of INR 3,179 crores, nearly 4x FY24 EPC revenue, indicating strong future execution and revenue. - Real estate segment expected to improve from FY26 onwards, with multiple projects launching in 2025-26. - Upcoming real estate projects (Mumbai redevelopment, Powai, Baner Pashan) expected to significantly contribute to revenue. - Real estate sales bookings in 9 months FY25 were 47,658 sq. ft. (INR 30 crores), with optimism for growth ahead. - Management confident of sustained EPC order inflow post Maharashtra elections and expanding pipelines in other states. - Target of INR 1,500 crores order booking in EPC expected by April 2025, supporting medium-term growth. - Overall, real estate and EPC segments combined expected to drive growth over next 4-5 years, with real estate margins enhancing EBITDA.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Vascon expects EBITDA margin to improve from the current ~8% to around 8.5%-9% by FY25 end, driven by increased revenue from the higher-margin Real Estate segment in Q4 and beyond. - Real Estate revenue contributions are anticipated to rise significantly from FY26 onwards, boosting overall profitability. - EPC segment remains robust with a strong order book of INR 3,179 crores and expected steady execution over the next 3 years, supporting sustainable growth. - Company targets INR 1,500 crores order booking for FY25, expected to be achieved by April 2025, with planned fresh orders in Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, UP, and Bihar to maintain ~20% EPC growth for 3-4 years. - Profitability in Q3 and 9 months FY25 included one-time gains from divestment of GMP Technical Solutions, with net profit at INR 76 crores in Q3, supported by improving operational efficiencies. - Management remains confident about continued top-line growth and margin improvement fueled by project launches and enhanced execution discipline.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Current order book stands at around INR 3,200 crores with an average execution timeline of 3 years (Page 8). - The company has already booked approximately INR 500 crores of orders for FY25 and targets to book an additional INR 1,000 crores by April 2025, aiming for a total of INR 1,500 crores in fresh orders (Page 8-9). - The order pipeline is positive with opportunities in Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, UP, and Bihar. The Maharashtra elections are over, boosting confidence in orders from that region (Page 8). - Internal projects constitute INR 464 crores of the order backlog, with external EPC projects making up INR 2,715 crores (Page 2). - The company is bullish and targeting continued EPC order growth of 20% over the next 3-4 years (Page 8).