Welspun Corp Ltd
Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Industrial Products
fundraise: No informationcapex: Norevenue: Category 1margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No explicit mention of any current or future fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript.
- The company emphasizes prudent capital allocation, focusing on growth investment, reserve creation, and shareholder rewards.
- Strong focus on reducing net debt to minimal levels; has already reduced net debt by INR700 crores recently.
- No discussions on capital-intensive options like shipbuilding; exploring low-capex, value-accretive business opportunities such as ship repair and recycling.
- Cash flow generation expected to be strong, enabling further gross debt reduction without additional fundraising.
- Management prioritizes organic growth and cash flow over raising new funds via equity or debt at this time.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- For the current financial year, Welspun Corp is not planning any major capex except for maintenance capex, estimated around INR 250-300 crores across all businesses.
- The company has restricted fixed cost outflow and is not engaging in capital-intensive options like shipbuilding but is exploring low-capex, non-cyclical, high-return business opportunities such as ship repair and recycling, with an assessment expected to complete in the next two quarters.
- Investments have been made in new businesses like Sintex BAPL, DI pipes, and WSSL, which will start accruing benefits over the next quarters and years.
- The focus is on prudent capital allocation prioritizing growth investments, creating reserves, and rewarding shareholders, with no current plans for demergers or significant new capex-heavy projects.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Topline expected to grow to approximately INR 15,000 crores in FY 2024, about 50% growth from current levels (Page 8).
- Targeted sales for DI pipes between 175,000 to 200,000 tons, representing 45-50% capacity utilization, indicating a ramp-up phase in next 3-4 quarters (Page 5).
- Sustained growth expected in DI pipe business over next 5 to 7 years due to strong demand from Jal Jeevan Mission and pan-India requirements (Page 14).
- Line pipe business sales volume in recent past: 374,000 tons total operations; 200,000 tons in India, 30,000 tons in the U.S., and 100,000 tons from Saudi operations, with growing order book in Southeast Asia, Middle East, and U.S. markets (Page 3, 11).
- Bid book increased 46% quarter on quarter, driven by Southeast Asia, Middle East, and U.S. demand (Page 11).
- Ramp-up in steel (TMT bars) and blast furnace production supporting volume growth (Page 5).
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Welspun Corp targets a topline of around INR 15,000 crores for FY 2024, reflecting approximately 50% growth from the current level.
- EBITDA is expected to reach close to INR 1,500 crores, representing a 90% to 100% increase over current levels.
- The company aims to achieve a return on capital employed (ROCE) of 16%+ in FY 2024.
- Growth drivers include robust demand across line pipe businesses, steel, DI pipes, Sintex, and WSSL subsidiaries—all poised for expansion.
- DI pipe segment capacity at 400,000 tons benefits from lower coal and iron ore prices, supporting margin improvement over a year.
- U.S., Middle East (Saudi Arabia, Qatar), and Southeast Asia are key regions contributing to increased order books and growth.
- Management is focused on growth without immediate plans for demerger, prioritizing investments and shareholder returns.
- The ramp-up of new units like DI pipes is on track, with EBITDA breakeven already achieved and further improvement expected.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Total order book: ~1.1 million tons
- Saudi entity: ~475,000 tons (robust and very profitable order book)
- U.S. entity: ~400,000 tons (strong with firm visibility till December 2023)
- India entity: ~250,000 tons (active discussions to significantly grow in subsequent quarters)
- DI pipe business order book: ~140,000 tons, with a capacity of 400,000 tons; potential to increase order book as ramp-up targets are met.
- Saudi associate's INR4,000 crore order (Master Gas Phase 3) execution starts from September 2023 and continues till May/June 2024.
- Inventory of INR1,000+ crores mainly against export orders, expected to reduce as orders get executed.
- Bid book increased 46% QoQ driven by Southeast Asia, Middle East (Saudi and Qatar), and the U.S.
- Expect business continuity in Saudi for 2-3 years with additional water sector orders anticipated.
