Welspun Corp Ltd
Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Industrial Products
fundraise: Nocapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Welspun Corp recorded record FY'24 financials: revenue INR17,500 crore (+74% YoY), EBITDA INR1,800 crore (2x prior year), and PAT INR1,110 crore (>5x increase). ROCE improved to 20% from 8% in FY'23.
- Management confident of sustained growth in key segments: stainless steel, Sintex (water tanks and pipes), TMT bars, line pipes, and DI pipes.
- Sintex business is EBITDA positive since FY'24 and expected to contribute more as capex (~INR2,300 crore over 2 years) drives new growth starting H1 FY'26.
- Capacity expansions underway (DI pipes capacity to rise from 400,000 to 600,000 tonnes).
- TMT business aiming for 70-80% capacity utilization in FY'25-26 with further demand expected from Gujarat's industrialization.
- EBITDA margins have room to improve, on a medium-term basis.
- Debt management focused on keeping debt/EBITDA ratio below 5x; net debt reduced significantly in FY'24.
- Guidance for FY'25 is cautious but expected to be revised upward as year progresses, based on market fundamentals.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- U.S. order book volume pending execution is approximately 80,000 to 100,000 tonnes, expected to last till Q3 FY25 (Page 14).
- DI pipe business has an order book of over 325,000 tonnes, giving visibility for about 9 months in FY25 (Page 5).
- Total DI pipe order book is 328,000 tonnes with capacity expanding from 400,000 to 600,000 tonnes (Page 9).
- Saudi entity (EPIC) has a confirmed order book covering more than 2 years, ensuring sustainable performance over next 8 quarters (Page 5).
- U.S. order book confirmed till Q3 of FY25 with active pursuit of additional pipelines (Page 4).
- Overall, order books provide visibility ranging from 9 months to over 2 years depending on region and product.
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No explicit mention of any new fundraising through equity in the document.
- Capex of INR 2,350 crore planned over next 2 years, primarily funded through internal cash flows from profitable businesses.
- Strong focus on managing debt levels; internal target to keep debt-to-EBITDA below 5x, preferably lower.
- Net debt reduced significantly from INR 1,138 crore in FY '23 to INR 387 crore in FY '24, showing prudent debt management.
- The company expects all businesses to generate sufficient free cash flow to fund growth and capex without stressing the balance sheet.
- No indication of planned raising of debt beyond existing management limits.
- Priority remains on operational growth and internal accruals to fund capital expenditure and expansion.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- **Sintex Business:**
- INR 2,300 - 2,350 crore capex planned over the next 2 years, focusing on pipes business (CPVC, UPVC, HDPE, OPVC).
- Capex spread mainly in FY '25 and FY '26.
- Operations expected to start from Q1 or H1 FY '26.
- **DI Pipes Business:**
- Capacity expanded from 400,000 tonnes to 500,000 tonnes, further expanding to 600,000 tonnes by FY end.
- Capex for DIP expansion in India mostly within this financial year.
- Additional capex of around INR 500 crore planned for DIP expansion in the Middle East over 2 years.
- **Steel (TMT) Business:**
- Plans to optimize existing capacity with approximately 70-80% utilization target; no immediate capex mentioned.
- **Other Notes:**
- Total capex for FY could be between INR 1,500 to 2,000 crore considering all projects.
- Strong focus on profitable growth, capacity utilization, and maintaining healthy debt levels.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Welspun Corp expects significant growth across all businesses: stainless steel, Sintex (building materials), TMT bars, DI pipes, and U.S. operations.
- Sintex business sales grew 35% YoY to INR 635 crore in FY24, with a targeted 3x to 4x top-line growth over the next 5 years.
- DI pipe capacity expanding from 400,000 to 600,000 tonnes with expected 70-80% utilization in FY25; order book covers 9 months.
- TMT bar sales reached 120,000 tonnes in FY24 (~50% capacity utilization); aiming for 70-80% utilization in FY25 and '26.
- Overall revenue grew from INR 10,000 crore to INR 17,000 crore in FY24; expected steady to strong growth going forward.
- Management confident in multi-year growth supported by government schemes (Jal Jeevan Mission, AMRUT), infrastructure and industrialization projects.
- Capacity utilization targets include 70-80% for Sintex and significant utilization ramp in pipe and steel segments.
