Wheels India Ltd

Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

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Full Stock Analysis
margin: Category 2orderbook: No informationfundraise: Nocapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- The Board has cleared a capex proposal of over Rs. 200 Crores for the current year. - So far, only Rs. 72 Crores have been spent in six months; expected full-year capex is about Rs. 150-160 Crores due to deferments. - All capex is Brownfield, focused on adding to existing capacities; no Greenfield projects. - Capex is aligned with cash flows and financial health of respective businesses; cautious spending due to muted volume growth. - No major capex planned for increasing volume in alloy wheels this year; any such investment likely next year due to long lead times. - In windmill business, no new capacity in fabrication; casting and machining segment is scaling up and profitable, expected to grow twofold in the coming year. - The company plans better utilization of existing capacity next year, indicating less need for large capex. - Capex will primarily be funded through internal accruals without additional borrowing.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Export growth: Expected to be muted next year with softness in Europe and Latin America; growth will rely on winning new business in light and medium construction wheels as well as larger tractor wheels mainly in Europe and North America. - Domestic Market: Commercial vehicle market anticipated to improve post-monsoon; air suspension demand expected to be strong in Q3 and Q4; tractor market remains weak with no dramatic improvement expected soon. - Alloy Wheels: Aluminium wheel business is EBITDA positive and directionally improving; OEM supplies expected to increase from Q4 and next year with new customer orders anticipated. - Volume Targets: Export wheels production expected to grow from current ~24,000/month to 35,000–40,000/month by next year; total monthly wheels (commercial + passenger vehicle segments) around 8.5 to 9 lakh including subsidiary. - New Business Areas: Growth expected in fabrication and hydraulic cylinder export businesses targeting North America and Europe starting next financial year.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Wheels India expects to improve EBITDA margins to around 7%+ by Q4 FY2024, reaching levels similar to 2018-2019. - The company anticipates margin normalization post-Q4, after absorbing one-time costs and improving operational efficiencies. - Growth in exports is expected to be challenging next year, with muted market expansion in Europe, Latin America, US, and Asia, but new business wins in light and medium construction wheels and larger tractor wheels offer potential. - Internal accruals and working capital improvement are expected to fund capex, with no current plans for equity infusion, aiding interest cost reduction over 18-24 months. - Sundaram Hydraulics' full amalgamation is expected to contribute Rs.130-140 Crores topline with 25-35% growth, aiding overall earnings. - The company targets better profitability driven by margin recovery, operational rationalization, and growth in new export markets like North America and Europe.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

The transcript from the Wheels India Limited Q2 FY2024 earnings call does not explicitly provide detailed information about the current or expected order book or pending orders in quantified terms. However, relevant insights include: - The company has Letters of Intent (LOIs) from two customers for the alloy wheel business; supply to one has started, with the other expected early next year. - New business wins are anticipated in light and medium construction wheels and larger tractor wheels in export markets starting Q4 FY2024. - Rationalization of manpower has been completed, enabling the company to look at manufacturing fabrications for high-speed trains like Vande Bharat, expected to progress by Q4. - Export demand is strong in North America and Asia; Europe remains soft. - The company expects growth in the fabrication and hydraulic cylinder export businesses next financial year. No specific order book values or pending order figures are disclosed.
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Currently, Wheels India Limited has no plans to raise equity as there are no expansionary activities necessitating it. - The company has been managing its capex through internal accruals without additional borrowing. - There is ongoing effort to reduce working capital and thereby decrease debt facilities over the next 18 to 24 months. - Debt reduction is planned through repayment of term loans and working capital limitsβ€”a reduction of about Rs.150 Crores in debt has already been achieved in the current six months, with further repayments expected. - Interest cost increases are mainly due to repo rate hikes rather than higher borrowings. - Improvements in profitability and cash flow are expected to enable the company to avoid new borrowing for capex going forward.