White OrganicQ1 FY19

White Organic Q1 FY19 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 3.56P/E: 13.1Market Cap: ₹13 CrSector: Agricultural Food & other Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 1

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • The company targets a conservative top-line growth rate of about 25% annually (FY19 and FY20).
  • Post organic certification (IC3) anticipated around Diwali 2018, margins and profitability are expected to increase significantly.
  • Revenue from agricultural business per acre is expected to rise, with topline per acre around Rs. 1.75 lakhs and profit increasing from Rs. 1 lakh to Rs. 1.3 lakhs post-certification.
  • Export potential is expected to grow aggressively after IC3 certification, opening markets in US, Europe, and Australia.
  • Trading activities and agricultural cultivation volumes have both increased and will continue to grow.
  • The company plans to expand cultivation to 3,000 acres with focus on high-margin herbal crops.
  • Retail will contribute 3-5% of revenue, mainly through franchise models targeting Tier 1 cities.
  • EBITDA margins expected to improve significantly once full organic certification and licenses are achieved.

Margin guidance

Category 1
  • The company expects a profit target of around Rs. 20 crores in FY19, possibly exceeding this, but remains conservative on guidance (Page 19).
  • Anticipated top-line growth of about 25% in FY19 with bottom-line growth expected to exceed top-line growth, driven by increased margins post-organic certification (Page 5, 19).
  • EBITDA margins currently at 30-40% in agriculture; expected to increase to 40-50% once IC3 organic certification is obtained (Page 19).
  • Per acre bottom-line expected to grow from Rs. 1 lakh to Rs. 1.3 lakhs after certification, a 30% increase in profitability per acre (Page 19).
  • PAT growth CAGR expected around 25% or higher for FY19 and FY20, driven by margin expansion from organic licenses and operational scale-up (Page 11, 19).
  • Conservative approach on guidance aims to first deliver results before updating projections (Page 19).

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Fundraise plans

  • Currently, there is no definite plan for new fundraising through debt or equity.
  • Darshak Rupani mentioned that if any Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) are interested and if the company needs funds, they might consider it.
  • However, at the moment, the promoters are cash rich and prefer to fund internally if required.
  • The company’s internal financial situation is very healthy and cash flow is positive.
  • They do not anticipate needing external funds in the near future.

Order book

Yes
  • Current orderbook details are not explicitly mentioned in the transcript.
  • As of the call, the company has about 57 clients with receivables of approximately Rs. 51 crores.
  • Major clients include Patanjali, with receivables ranging from Rs. 40,000 to Rs. 2 crores.
  • Export market has started with trial orders worth around $30,000.
  • After obtaining IC3 certification (expected by Diwali 2018), the company anticipates opening larger export markets including US, Europe, and Australia.
  • Already, the company has around 60 export queries and sample orders in progress.
  • The company is cautiously optimistic about growing exports and expanding client base post-IC3 certification.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company is planning some fund raising for retail business, though nothing is concrete yet (Page 12).
  • Rs. 5 crores from previous investments have been reinvested into Future Farms LLP, with about Rs. 3.75 crores specifically invested there (Page 10).
  • Expansion plans include acquiring more land, including plans to expand into Maharashtra (Page 17).
  • No immediate approach to big retail chains due to low margins but focus on building brand before negotiating (Page 18).
  • Plans to open about 40 franchise retail stores post-October, contributing about 3%-5% to P&L, aiming for brand presence rather than full retail business (Page 11).
  • Organic certification and license acquisition expected by Diwali 2018, which will enhance margins and open export markets (Page 14, Page 5).
  • Capital is currently sufficient; promoters are cash rich and internal funds will support future requirements, with no urgent need for external funding (Page 17).

How does White Organic rank vs peers in Agricultural Food & other Products?

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