Aye Finance Ltd Q4 FY26 Earnings Analysis

- Aye Finance targets a consistent growth of about 30% CAGR over the next three years (FY26-FY29). - The company expects to grow its loan book across the country without avoiding any particular geography. - Growth will come from organic increase in hypothecation loans and expansion in mortgage business. - Approval rates are expected to rise from the current 40%-43% back towards 55%, driving 8%-10% incremental growth. - The mortgage loan portfolio aims to increase from 22% of AUM to about 30%, providing lift in growth and improved operating expense ratios. - Loan disbursements have already shown strong momentum, with Q3 FY26 disbursements up 35% YoY and increased new borrower additions. - Branch expansion is modest; growth largely driven by elevated per-branch AUM and repeat loans. - The company believes its 30%+ growth target for FY26-FY27 is achievable based on current trends and past performance.

- Targeting consistent growth of about 30% CAGR over the next three years (Page 10). - Growth driven by organic expansion in hypothecation loans and mortgage business (Page 15). - Approval rates expected to rise from current 40%-43% back to historical 55%, adding 8%-10% to growth (Page 15). - Q4 and first two months of FY26 showed very strong growth, supporting the 30%+ growth rate target for FY26 and FY27 (Page 14). - Profitability expected to improve with credit costs declining below 4%, operating expenses benefiting from leverage, and finance costs dropping due to more equity and lower incremental borrowing costs (~10.3%) (Page 14). - ROA likely to reach around 4% in FY27 as credit cost and operating expenses normalize (Page 14). - Mortgage loans target to increase to 30% of portfolio to support growth and improve operating efficiencies (Page 10).

- Aye Finance has made a recent primary capital raise of INR 710 crores via IPO, augmenting net worth to INR 1,773 crores, which acts as a catalyst for growth. - The company is investing strategically in expanding its mortgage loan business, including building a mortgage team of over 1,400 people added in the last 1.5 years. - Investment in technology and data science capabilities continues, with in-house AI/ML underwriting models and digital collection tools enhancing operational efficiency. - Branch expansion is modest; only 44 new branches opened in FY '26, focusing more on increasing AUM per branch rather than aggressive branch addition. - The mortgage loan book is targeted to grow from 22% to 30% of overall portfolio over three years, implying capital allocation toward this segment. - Overall, investments focus on technology, mortgage business build-up, and selective branch expansion to drive scalable, efficient growth.

- The transcript does not explicitly mention any current or planned new fundraising through debt or equity. - It notes a recent primary equity raise of INR 710 crores via IPO that has augmented the company's net worth to INR 1,773 crores as of December 2025. - This increased net worth from the IPO is expected to act as a catalyst to enable continued robust growth. - There is also mention that the cost of incremental borrowing is at 10.3%, indicating ongoing access to debt markets at this rate. - No specific plans for future fundraising rounds (debt or equity) are disclosed in the provided pages.

The provided transcript and presentation excerpts do not specifically mention current or expected order book or pending orders for Aye Finance Limited. The focus is primarily on: - Loan portfolio growth and mix (mortgage and hypothecation loans) - Geographic diversification and branch presence - Collection efficiency and credit cost trends - Product offerings and customer segmentation - Growth targets such as 30% CAGR over 3 years and increasing mortgage share to 30% of portfolio No direct information or metrics related to current or pending order book volumes or status are disclosed in the material on page 15 or the surrounding pages.