Adani Power LtdQ3 FY25
Adani Power Ltd Q3 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹230P/E: 33.3Market Cap: ₹4.3L CrSector: Power
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 2
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
Yes
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
3 of 5 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 2- →Adani Power expects power demand growth to pick up as weather impacts subside, leading to improved offtake under long-term contracts and more traction in the short-term market.
- →Power sale volumes grew over 7% in Q2 FY26 to 23.7 billion units versus 22 billion units in Q2 FY25, despite subdued demand due to weather.
- →The company aims to increase generation capacity from 18 GW to 42 GW by FY32, with rapid commissioning planned between FY27 and FY30.
- →Recent awards of long-term PPAs for over 9 GW out of 14.5 GW bids bolster growth prospects.
- →They plan to tie up more capacity under medium- to long-term PPAs to reduce price volatility.
- →Four projects totaling 6,120 MW are under construction for staged commissioning between FY27 and FY29.
- →Expected earnings growth aligns with capacity expansion and improved demand.
- →The company remains confident of meeting capacity and revenue targets despite short-term challenges.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →Adani Power plans to raise generation capacity from 18 GW to 42 GW by 2032, driving faster earnings and cash flow growth.
- →New long-term PPA bids secured for more than 9 GW out of 14.5 GW awarded so far, supporting steady cash flows and higher returns.
- →Four projects under construction totaling 6,120 MW, to be commissioned between FY27 and FY29, enabling rapid earnings growth.
- →Company expects improved PLF and power demand growth as weather impacts abate, boosting volumes and revenues.
- →Recent tie-ups of medium- and long-term PPAs reduce volatility, supporting stable EBITDA and profits.
- →EBITDA and profit growth expected from commissioning new capacities and ramping up existing operations.
- →Management confident of delivering projects on schedule with capital cost leadership.
- →Internal accruals and efficient capital structure to fund expansion, maintaining healthy net debt.
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Fundraise plans
Yes- →Adani Power plans to fund a significant portion of its CAPEX from internal accruals generated by operating assets.
- →Over the next 2-3 years, there will be an interim bridge financing requirement for CAPEX.
- →This interim financing will be sourced from the market, including a mix of short-term and long-term borrowings from domestic capital markets and domestic banks.
- →The company follows an efficient capital structure policy without a high reliance on debt.
- →Total debt increased to Rs. 47,254 crores as of September 30, 2025, mainly due to bridge financing for CAPEX and working capital needs supporting growth plans.
- →Net debt remains steady and healthy at Rs. 36,776 crores.
- →No specific mention of equity fundraising in the disclosed details.
Order book
Yes- →Total capacity expansion planned: 23.72 GW.
- →Out of 23.72 GW, 8.52 GW is already tied up under PPAs.
- →Recently, won 3.2 GW Assam bid as L1 bidder; approval received.
- →Additional tied-up capacity includes 1,100 MW from existing capacities (500 MW Maharashtra, 570 MW Karnataka).
- →Four projects under construction totaling 6,120 MW, scheduled for completion between FY 2026-27 and FY 2028-29.
- →100% advance ordering of Boilers, Turbines, and Generators completed for expansion projects.
- →Bids at various stages totaling approximately 22,000 MW in several states: Rajasthan (3,200 MW), Uttarakhand (1,320 MW), Maharashtra (1,600 MW), Uttar Pradesh (4,000 MW), West Bengal (2,260 MW), Karnataka (1,600 MW), Gujarat (4,000 MW), Assam (3,200 MW).
- →Total bid pipeline is around 42 GW by FY32, with 91% of operational capacity currently tied under PPAs.
Capex plans
Yes- →Adani Power is undertaking a significant capacity expansion program aiming to raise generation capacity from 18 GW to 42 GW by FY2032.
- →The planned new capacity addition is approximately 23.72 GW.
- →Total estimated CAPEX for the 23 GW expansion is about Rs. 2 lakh crore.
- →Four projects totaling 6,120 MW are currently under construction, expected to be completed between FY2026-27 and FY2028-29.
- →All equipment for the expansion has been 100% advance ordered, marking full de-risking of the project pipeline.
- →CAPEX funding will primarily come from internal accruals; interim funding needs will be met through a mix of domestic capital markets and bank borrowings.
- →Strategic investments include acquisition and revival of existing plants like the 600 MW Butibori plant, with signed PPAs to ensure utilization.
- →The company is confident of tying up upcoming capacities under long-term PPAs, supporting steady cash flows and returns.
How does Adani Power Ltd rank vs peers in Power?
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