Adani Power Ltd
Q3 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis
Power
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Adani Power plans to fund a significant portion of its CAPEX from internal accruals generated by operating assets.
- Over the next 2-3 years, there will be an interim bridge financing requirement for CAPEX.
- This interim financing will be sourced from the market, including a mix of short-term and long-term borrowings from domestic capital markets and domestic banks.
- The company follows an efficient capital structure policy without a high reliance on debt.
- Total debt increased to Rs. 47,254 crores as of September 30, 2025, mainly due to bridge financing for CAPEX and working capital needs supporting growth plans.
- Net debt remains steady and healthy at Rs. 36,776 crores.
- No specific mention of equity fundraising in the disclosed details.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Adani Power is undertaking a significant capacity expansion program aiming to raise generation capacity from 18 GW to 42 GW by FY2032.
- The planned new capacity addition is approximately 23.72 GW.
- Total estimated CAPEX for the 23 GW expansion is about Rs. 2 lakh crore.
- Four projects totaling 6,120 MW are currently under construction, expected to be completed between FY2026-27 and FY2028-29.
- All equipment for the expansion has been 100% advance ordered, marking full de-risking of the project pipeline.
- CAPEX funding will primarily come from internal accruals; interim funding needs will be met through a mix of domestic capital markets and bank borrowings.
- Strategic investments include acquisition and revival of existing plants like the 600 MW Butibori plant, with signed PPAs to ensure utilization.
- The company is confident of tying up upcoming capacities under long-term PPAs, supporting steady cash flows and returns.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Adani Power expects power demand growth to pick up as weather impacts subside, leading to improved offtake under long-term contracts and more traction in the short-term market.
- Power sale volumes grew over 7% in Q2 FY26 to 23.7 billion units versus 22 billion units in Q2 FY25, despite subdued demand due to weather.
- The company aims to increase generation capacity from 18 GW to 42 GW by FY32, with rapid commissioning planned between FY27 and FY30.
- Recent awards of long-term PPAs for over 9 GW out of 14.5 GW bids bolster growth prospects.
- They plan to tie up more capacity under medium- to long-term PPAs to reduce price volatility.
- Four projects totaling 6,120 MW are under construction for staged commissioning between FY27 and FY29.
- Expected earnings growth aligns with capacity expansion and improved demand.
- The company remains confident of meeting capacity and revenue targets despite short-term challenges.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Adani Power plans to raise generation capacity from 18 GW to 42 GW by 2032, driving faster earnings and cash flow growth.
- New long-term PPA bids secured for more than 9 GW out of 14.5 GW awarded so far, supporting steady cash flows and higher returns.
- Four projects under construction totaling 6,120 MW, to be commissioned between FY27 and FY29, enabling rapid earnings growth.
- Company expects improved PLF and power demand growth as weather impacts abate, boosting volumes and revenues.
- Recent tie-ups of medium- and long-term PPAs reduce volatility, supporting stable EBITDA and profits.
- EBITDA and profit growth expected from commissioning new capacities and ramping up existing operations.
- Management confident of delivering projects on schedule with capital cost leadership.
- Internal accruals and efficient capital structure to fund expansion, maintaining healthy net debt.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Total capacity expansion planned: 23.72 GW.
- Out of 23.72 GW, 8.52 GW is already tied up under PPAs.
- Recently, won 3.2 GW Assam bid as L1 bidder; approval received.
- Additional tied-up capacity includes 1,100 MW from existing capacities (500 MW Maharashtra, 570 MW Karnataka).
- Four projects under construction totaling 6,120 MW, scheduled for completion between FY 2026-27 and FY 2028-29.
- 100% advance ordering of Boilers, Turbines, and Generators completed for expansion projects.
- Bids at various stages totaling approximately 22,000 MW in several states: Rajasthan (3,200 MW), Uttarakhand (1,320 MW), Maharashtra (1,600 MW), Uttar Pradesh (4,000 MW), West Bengal (2,260 MW), Karnataka (1,600 MW), Gujarat (4,000 MW), Assam (3,200 MW).
- Total bid pipeline is around 42 GW by FY32, with 91% of operational capacity currently tied under PPAs.
