Arthneeti
Sale is live|00:00:00
Adani Power LtdQ1 FY26

Adani Power Ltd Q1 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 230P/E: 33.3Market Cap: ₹4.3L CrSector: Power

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Power sales for FY26 were 99.1 billion units, growing 3.4% YoY, despite demand volatility.
  • Peak power demand reached 256 GW recently and is expected to rise further in FY27.
  • FY27 is anticipated to see strong growth in overall power demand and peak demand.
  • New PPAs tied cover 13.3 GW of expansion capacity, supporting revenue visibility.
  • 95% of operating capacity (18.15 GW) is under long/medium-term PPAs, ensuring stability.
  • Upcoming capacity additions (23.7 GW expansion by 2032) will drive future volume and revenue growth.
  • EBITDA expected to reach INR 50,000 crores by FY31 (potentially FY30 if no issues).
  • Revenue and EBITDA growth will be supported by higher PPA tariffs and capacity expansion execution.
  • Capacity planned to reach 42 GW by FY31-32, enabling substantial cash flow and business scaling.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • EBITDA expected to double to INR50,000 crore by FY31, potentially as early as FY30 if plans proceed smoothly.
  • Continued capacity expansion targeting 23.7 GW addition by 2032, aiming for a total capacity of 42 GW by FY31-32.
  • Operating cash flow rising with capex around INR25,000 crore in FY26-27 and INR33,000 crore in FY27-28.
  • By FY31-32, debt expected to be fully repaid; thereafter, significant cash surpluses anticipated.
  • New PPAs tied up totaling 13.3 GW expansion with 95% existing operating capacity under medium- to long-term PPAs for stable earnings.
  • Despite market volatility, FY26 PAT was INR12,971 crore with strong EBITDA resilience.
  • Future growth driven by commissioning of new capacity and higher PPA tariffs improving return metrics.
  • Business likely to transition to a debt-free company with multiple avenues for cash deployment and strategy to leverage growth in thermal, nuclear, and renewable energy sectors.

3 more insights locked — sign up free to unlock

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Currently arranging funding for the interim gap via domestic capital markets or domestic banks.
  • Recently raised INR7,500 crores through secured non-convertible debentures.
  • Interim funds have also been raised from banks in the form of corporate debt.
  • The company follows a conservative capital management approach, funding majority of expansion from internal accruals over time.
  • Weighted average cost of borrowing recently is around 8%, sourced from debt capital markets or domestic banks.
  • No explicit mention of immediate equity fundraising in the discussed period.
  • Future capital allocation will be careful to seize new opportunities in India's expanding energy sector, implying possible future funding needs aligned with expansion plans.

Order book

  • Adani Power has successfully tied up 10.4 GW of expansion capacity under long-term PPAs during FY26, increasing the total tie-up expansion capacity to 13.3 GW with recent addition of a 1,600 MW PPA from Maharashtra DISCOM.
  • The company is progressing on a massive expansion plan targeting 23.7 GW of thermal capacity addition by 2032.
  • Capacity commissioning planned includes Korba Phase-II (1.32 GW) in FY27 and Mahan Phase-II (1.6 GW) in FY28, among others.
  • An overall expansion capex plan of about INR 2 lakh crore, with INR 25,000 crore allocated for FY27 and INR 33,000 crore for FY28.
  • Upcoming PPAs in the market total almost 13 GW across states including Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Uttarakhand, West Bengal, and Gujarat, with Gujarat issuing bidding documents for an additional 4,000 MW.
  • About 95% of current operating capacity is tied up under medium- or long-term PPAs, reducing merchant capacity to 5%.

Capex plans

Yes
  • FY26-27 capex: INR 25,000 crores; FY27-28 capex: INR 33,000 crores for expansion.
  • Ongoing expansion plan totaling INR 2 lakh crores with annualized capex around INR 20,000 crores.
  • Capacity additions spread from FY29 to FY32, targeting to commission 4 GW or more each year.
  • Focus on thermal capacity expansion to reach 42 GW by FY31-32.
  • Exploring opportunities in nuclear power, with SPVs incorporated and sites identified, pending government rules.
  • Recent incorporation of SPV in Bhutan for 570 MW hydro project.
  • Strategic plan to deploy cash surplus post debt repayment by FY31-32 into further expansion or new investments.
  • Continued emphasis on internal accrual funding and conservative capital management.
  • Potential for investing beyond India in thermal, hydro, transmission, and nuclear sectors.

How does Adani Power Ltd rank vs peers in Power?

Pro feature
1Adani Power Ltd
Rev 2Mar 3

See full Power sector rankings

Want more stocks like Adani Power Ltd?

Build an AI portfolio filtered by sector, market cap, and growth rank. Takes 2 minutes.

Build my portfolio