Aditya Birla Real Estate LtdQ2 FY24
Aditya Birla Real Estate Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹1,198Market Cap: ₹14.4K CrSector: Realty
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 2
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
Yes
Order
N/A
Capex
Yes
2 of 4 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 2- →Expecting a very positive and strong real estate cycle for the next few years with sustained demand driven by GDP growth, urbanization, and premium segment demand.
- →Targeting launches of INR15,000 to INR20,000 crores GDV per year to fuel growth.
- →Plan to add about INR15,000 to INR16,000 crores GDV annually in new projects.
- →Sales booking grew 27% YoY with strong collections (INR488 crores in Q1 '25).
- →Aim to scale residential portfolio through private equity funding at project levels.
- →Focus on completion and sale velocity, anticipating 3-4 apartment sales per month in key projects like Niyaara Tower 2.
- →Confident in maintaining volume and sales guidance despite market slowdowns, if pricing, product design, and location remain attractive.
- →Limited group property launches; growth mainly through acquisitions and JV projects in prime locations.
- →Overall growth balanced with emphasis on quality, customer centricity, and timely delivery alongside scale.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →Century Textiles anticipates sustained growth with a 28% YoY increase in consolidated turnover for Q1 FY'25.
- →Real estate segment showed over 800% YoY revenue growth, driven by strong deliveries and bookings.
- →The company targets INR15,000-20,000 crores in project launches this year to fuel growth and improve cash turnaround.
- →Margins in real estate projects are maintained around 25-30% EBITDA with IRRs of 20%+ for joint development projects, supporting profitability.
- →Cost reduction initiatives in the paper segment aim to improve EBITDA margins (~INR12/kg target).
- →Despite short-term EBITDA decline in paper due to market softness, improved NSR and demand recovery are expected.
- →Corporate overheads will rise moderately, capped at ~3-4% of bookings, enabling scale without compromising quality.
- →The textile JV with Grasim is expected to start showing profits next year, contributing to future earnings growth.
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Fundraise plans
Yes- →The company is actively looking to raise platform funding through private equity to scale up its residential portfolio and possibly commercial portfolio in the future.
- →There are no plans for any public equity fundraising in the near future.
- →Any equity fundraising will happen at the project level, not at the parent company level (Century Textiles).
- →Debt levels might increase, potentially crossing INR4,000 crores consolidated by year-end, depending on new projects signed.
- →Future financing will primarily come from subsidiaries via undrawn construction finance plans rather than parent company borrowings.
- →Overall, raising funds, both debt and private equity, is not expected to be a challenge for the company given its active project pipeline and operations.
Order book
- →Birla Estate has a GDV pipeline of about INR 54,000 crores.
- →For FY '25, the company plans launches amounting to INR 15,000-20,000 crores in GDV.
- →Recent land acquisitions include:
- → - 13.27 acres in Gurugram with a GDV of INR 5,300 crores (60% share).
- → - 16.5 acres in Manjri, Pune with GDV of INR 2,500 crores.
- →The company plans phased launches in Q2-Q4 FY '25 including RR Nagar, Trimaya, Walkeshwar, Sarjapur Road, Gurugram (Birla Navya), Sangamwadi, Thane, and Manjri.
- →Delhi launches expected from Q1 FY '26 due to approval delays.
- →The total launched GDV till date is about INR 12,849 crores, with bookings of INR 9,428 crores. Unsold inventory is approximately INR 3,000 crores.
- →Inventory sold ratio: NCR ~100%, Bangalore ~95%, Mumbai ~87%.
- →The company expects to maintain healthy project margins (30%+), IRRs of 20%+ for JDA projects and 16-17% for outright projects.
Capex plans
Yes- →The company is actively looking for lucrative deals in real estate, focusing on joint ventures (JV/JDA) or outright purchases depending on the quality of the deal.
- →Recent acquisitions include 13.27 acres in Gurugram (GDV INR 5,300 crores) and 16.5 acres in Manjri, Pune (GDV INR 2,500 crores).
- →Planned launches for FY '25 include projects in Bengaluru (RR Nagar, Sarjapur Road), Gurugram (Birla Navya last phase), Pune (Sangamwadi, Manjri), and Thane, totaling around INR 12,000 crores in GDV.
- →The company is raising private equity funding at the project level to scale residential and commercial portfolios but not planning public fundraising in the near term.
- →Construction finance remains undrawn for some projects like Niyaara, indicating potential capex deployment aligned with project schedules.
- →Working capital is expected to normalize over next three quarters after a peak due to coal linkage in paper business, with no major financing issues anticipated.
How does Aditya Birla Real Estate Ltd rank vs peers in Realty?
Pro feature1Aditya Birla Real Estate Ltd
Rev 2Mar 3
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