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AksharChem (India) LtdQ2 FY17

AksharChem (India) Ltd Q2 FY17 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 253Market Cap: ₹160 CrSector: Chemicals & Petrochemicals

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Vinyl Sulphone (VS) volumes grew modestly by 1.7% in Q1 FY18; expected to remain significant with ~70% contribution within dye intermediates by 2020.
  • Pigment Green volumes rose sharply by 28.8% in Q1 FY18, aided by acquisition of 2-3 new long-term customers.
  • Precipitated silica capacity (120 tonnes) expected to be operational by end FY19; initial sales modest due to product approval timelines (~6 months).
  • Export sales remain strong (~85-90%) and are expected to continue post-expansion.
  • Brownfield expansions (Pigment Green, H-Acid) to complete by Q3/Q4 FY18, driving revenue growth in FY19.
  • Greenfield expansions (Precipitated silica, Pigment Green) to start contributing from FY20 onwards.
  • Order book for CPC Green full for next 4-5 months, supporting volume growth.
  • Overall vision to achieve equal revenue contributions from dye intermediates, pigments, and specialty chemicals in ~3 years.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company expects volume growth and realization improvements in Vinyl Sulphone (VS) and CPC Green businesses to drive revenue growth.
  • Despite a raw material price impact in Q1 FY18, margins are anticipated to recover, targeting EBITDA margins of 21% to 23%.
  • Expansion plans include Brownfield and Greenfield projects; benefits from expanded Green and H-Acid capacities expected from FY19 Q1.
  • Greenfield precipitated silica and Pigment Green expansions to contribute fully by FY20, with potential revenue doubling relative to CAPEX.
  • Vinyl Sulphone contribution to revenues projected to reduce to about 20% in three years, with growth in pigments and specialty chemical segments.
  • Export revenues expected to remain above 85%.
  • Management confident of smooth execution without significant roadblocks and stable pricing despite competitive pressures.
  • Overall, structural industry growth and strategic expansions position the company for sustainable earnings growth over the next 2-3 years.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company has completed a QIP (Qualified Institutional Placement) of ₹69 crore.
  • For the ongoing ₹175 crore CAPEX, funding will be primarily from internal accruals.
  • Some additional debt may be taken towards the end phase of the CAPEX project, particularly for the precipitated silica project.
  • No immediate plans for large-scale new equity fundraising were mentioned.
  • Finance is not considered a hindrance for the expansion as permissions are in place, and the execution is on track.

Order book

Yes
  • The order book for CPC Green is full for the next four to five months (Page 14).
  • Strong order book position is driving revenue growth in pigment business (Page 15).
  • Due to the strong order book, alignment of Violet 23 and Green expansions has been delayed but is now planned (Page 14).
  • New customer acquisitions for Pigment Green have been made in the last quarter, leading to a 28% rise in volumes (Page 15).
  • Customer acquisition time varies from 2-3 months for some products to 6 months to 1 year for others (Page 4).
  • The current order book for existing CPC Green will last until Diwali; capacity realignment planned post-Diwali (Page 6).

Capex plans

Yes
  • AksharChem is undertaking a capital expenditure (CAPEX) of Rs. 175 crore focused on Specialty Chemicals, Dyes & Intermediates, and Organic Pigments.
  • Rs. 69 crore out of this has been raised through a qualified institutional placement (QIP).
  • Brownfield Pigment Green expansion to complete by Q3 FY18; production to start in Q4 FY18.
  • H-Acid dye intermediate expansion to complete by end of Q4 FY18; revenues expected from Q1 FY19.
  • Greenfield expansions for precipitated silica and Pigment Green planned for commissioning around Q4 FY19; full benefits expected in FY20.
  • Precipitated silica project at Dahej site, aimed to be operational by end of FY19.
  • Funding to be primarily from internal accruals; some debt expected towards the end of the precipitated silica project.
  • Expansion projects largely on schedule with no anticipated execution roadblocks.

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1AksharChem (India) Ltd
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