AksharChem (I)
Q2 FY17 Earnings Call Analysis
Chemicals & Petrochemicals
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The company has completed a QIP (Qualified Institutional Placement) of ₹69 crore.
- For the ongoing ₹175 crore CAPEX, funding will be primarily from internal accruals.
- Some additional debt may be taken towards the end phase of the CAPEX project, particularly for the precipitated silica project.
- No immediate plans for large-scale new equity fundraising were mentioned.
- Finance is not considered a hindrance for the expansion as permissions are in place, and the execution is on track.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- AksharChem is undertaking a capital expenditure (CAPEX) of Rs. 175 crore focused on Specialty Chemicals, Dyes & Intermediates, and Organic Pigments.
- Rs. 69 crore out of this has been raised through a qualified institutional placement (QIP).
- Brownfield Pigment Green expansion to complete by Q3 FY18; production to start in Q4 FY18.
- H-Acid dye intermediate expansion to complete by end of Q4 FY18; revenues expected from Q1 FY19.
- Greenfield expansions for precipitated silica and Pigment Green planned for commissioning around Q4 FY19; full benefits expected in FY20.
- Precipitated silica project at Dahej site, aimed to be operational by end of FY19.
- Funding to be primarily from internal accruals; some debt expected towards the end of the precipitated silica project.
- Expansion projects largely on schedule with no anticipated execution roadblocks.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Vinyl Sulphone (VS) volumes grew modestly by 1.7% in Q1 FY18; expected to remain significant with ~70% contribution within dye intermediates by 2020.
- Pigment Green volumes rose sharply by 28.8% in Q1 FY18, aided by acquisition of 2-3 new long-term customers.
- Precipitated silica capacity (120 tonnes) expected to be operational by end FY19; initial sales modest due to product approval timelines (~6 months).
- Export sales remain strong (~85-90%) and are expected to continue post-expansion.
- Brownfield expansions (Pigment Green, H-Acid) to complete by Q3/Q4 FY18, driving revenue growth in FY19.
- Greenfield expansions (Precipitated silica, Pigment Green) to start contributing from FY20 onwards.
- Order book for CPC Green full for next 4-5 months, supporting volume growth.
- Overall vision to achieve equal revenue contributions from dye intermediates, pigments, and specialty chemicals in ~3 years.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The company expects volume growth and realization improvements in Vinyl Sulphone (VS) and CPC Green businesses to drive revenue growth.
- Despite a raw material price impact in Q1 FY18, margins are anticipated to recover, targeting EBITDA margins of 21% to 23%.
- Expansion plans include Brownfield and Greenfield projects; benefits from expanded Green and H-Acid capacities expected from FY19 Q1.
- Greenfield precipitated silica and Pigment Green expansions to contribute fully by FY20, with potential revenue doubling relative to CAPEX.
- Vinyl Sulphone contribution to revenues projected to reduce to about 20% in three years, with growth in pigments and specialty chemical segments.
- Export revenues expected to remain above 85%.
- Management confident of smooth execution without significant roadblocks and stable pricing despite competitive pressures.
- Overall, structural industry growth and strategic expansions position the company for sustainable earnings growth over the next 2-3 years.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The order book for CPC Green is full for the next four to five months (Page 14).
- Strong order book position is driving revenue growth in pigment business (Page 15).
- Due to the strong order book, alignment of Violet 23 and Green expansions has been delayed but is now planned (Page 14).
- New customer acquisitions for Pigment Green have been made in the last quarter, leading to a 28% rise in volumes (Page 15).
- Customer acquisition time varies from 2-3 months for some products to 6 months to 1 year for others (Page 4).
- The current order book for existing CPC Green will last until Diwali; capacity realignment planned post-Diwali (Page 6).
