Apcotex Industries Ltd

Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Industrial Products

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- No explicit mention of any current or immediate future fundraising through debt or equity. - The company has taken a term loan to partly fund a large CAPEX of around Rs. 220-230 crores in the last quarter; interest cost will impact PBT going forward. - No new equity issuance or fundraising planned is indicated during the call. - The company maintains a treasury reserve (~Rs. 90 crore) for potential non-organic acquisitions, growth, or quick expansion decisions. - Final decisions on new projects like doubling NBR capacity will be taken after detailed engineering and market assessment in the coming months. - Overall, management is focused on utilizing existing capacities and evaluating growth organically or through acquisitions, but no concrete plans for fresh fundraising disclosed.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- The company has made a large CAPEX of around ₹220-230 crores recently, which came on stream in the last quarter. - Depreciation and interest expenses will rise over the next two quarters due to this CAPEX, impacting PBT but not EBITDA. - There is ongoing detailed engineering for an NBR (nitrile butadiene rubber) project; final CAPEX decision pending senior management approval in coming months. - Nitrile latex capacity expansion includes converting a 10,000-ton plant to a 35,000-ton multipurpose latex plant, expected to reach full utilization by 2025. - Overall capacity expansions expected to add ₹600-700 crores in revenue at peak utilization, with full capacity expected within 2-3 years. - The company evaluates growth via organic expansion, new product pipeline, and inorganic opportunities but considers market and ROCE carefully before finalizing investments. - Specialty raw material inventory build-up largely done post-CAPEX.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company expects additional revenue of ₹600 to ₹700 crores from the new capacities at today's prices, potentially reaching ₹1,700 to ₹1,800 crores by FY26 (Page 19, Page 9). - Full capacity utilization is anticipated within 2 years for new plants, with nitrile latex utilization expected to be faster due to growing market presence (Page 19, Page 7). - Nitrile latex plant capacity of 50,000 tons expected to reach 40-50% utilization in the near term, with overall capacity growing by over 50% from 65,000 tons to 85,000 tons across plants (Page 14, Page 6). - Exports have grown 16% volume-wise for FY23 and 28% in Q4, indicating strong growth potential in Southeast Asia and Middle East markets (Page 8, Page 5). - Management is confident about the growth prospects in core industries such as construction, textiles, paper, and gloves in India and Asia (Page 20). - Future growth plans, including possible new product launches and inorganic expansion, will be shared when appropriate (Page 16).
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- FY24 Profit Before Tax (PBT) expected to be affected by higher depreciation and interest due to large CAPEX (~₹220-230 crores), but focus will be on improving EBITDA. - EBITDA expected to grow on an absolute basis, with a long-term target EBITDA margin of 17-18% after normalization of nitrile latex margins. - Base operating EBITDA margin around 14-15%, with short-term pressure due to lower nitrile latex margins and raw material costs. - Incremental revenue from new capacities expected to add ₹600-700 crores in top line within 2 years, aiming for full capacity utilization by FY26-FY27, reaching around ₹1,700-1,800 crores total revenue. - Specialty and emulsion polymer space offer growth opportunities; company evaluating new products and inorganic opportunities, though no final decisions yet. - Confident of filling new capacities within 2-3 years based on customer assessments and industry growth, mainly in India and Asia.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The company does not have contracts signed in advance before plant commissioning but maintains close communication with customers. - Customers provide 3 to 5-year projections of their capacity expansions and expected demand for latex and binders. - The company invests based on these market assessments and projections without written commitments. - Current projects are both on-stream and progressing well with capacity expected to be utilized over the next few quarters. - Projected revenue increase from new capacities is approximately ₹600-700 crores at current prices. - Full capacity utilization is expected within 2 years from plants' commissioning. - For nitrile latex, utilization levels are expected to be between 40-50% in the near term, with gradual increase. - NBR project final investment decision pending, dependent on current CAPEX costs and market conditions. - Overall growth plans and future order book updates will be shared in due course.