Ascensive Educa.

Q1 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Other Consumer Services

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Ascensive Educare targets a three-fold revenue growth with a projection of Rs. 100 CR top line and Rs. 8-10 CR bottom line for FY 2025-26. - For FY 2026-27, the company projects revenues around Rs. 150 CR with a net profit target of approximately Rs. 12 CR. - The company expects growth driven by onboarding more projects, including DDU-GKY schemes (estimated Rs. 30-40 CR). - Expansion into new verticals such as consulting to government schools and industries is contributing positively. - The operational profit margin is stable or improving, with the PBT margin increasing year-on-year. - Increase in vocational trainers from ~180 to 400 in FY 2025-26 will drive higher revenue. - International market exploration and institutional partnerships are expected to add to future growth, potentially by end of FY 2025-26.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The company currently has ongoing projects valued around Rs. 80 crore. - In the NI-MSME Northeast project, around 40% delivered, with 30% receivables; remaining 70% revenue to be booked this year. - Hunar Se Rozgar Tak scheme has 80% revenue booked; remaining 20% to be booked this year. - Approximately 70% of the total project size (other mentioned programs) will be booked this year. - A new manpower support project started recently, with entire turnover to be booked this year. - Apprenticeship projections will be fully booked this year. - Vocational training at schools will expand, growing vocational trainers from ~180 to 400 this financial year, with full revenue booking. - The company has a good book order value of more than Rs. 80 crore across 18 states and UTs. - Upcoming large project: Odisha Livelihoods Mission (OLM) to upskill 20,000 SHG members starting June. Overall, significant portion of revenues from current order book expected to be recognized in the current financial year.
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The company plans to raise capital in the future to fund construction and operational costs for their upcoming university project. - Currently, they are generating additional funds through year-on-year growth in top line and profits, which will partly fund the university. - There is no explicit mention of immediate ongoing equity fundraising, but future capital raising is planned to cover remaining expenses related to asset creation. - Due to operational expansion, the company has taken some borrowings this year to support increased expenditures. - Overall, the company is managing its liabilities by reducing debt over the past five years but acknowledges some borrowing to support growth.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Ascensive Educare Limited has secured land near Kolkata for establishing a full-fledged industry-led university. - The university is planned to be operational in FY 2026-27. - The land is currently in the promoter's names and will be transferred to the company subject to availability of funds. - Funding for the university and associated construction will come from internal accruals generated through expected top-line and profit growth. - Additionally, the company plans to raise capital in the future to fund the rest of the university construction and fixtures. - There is no mention of other specific current or future capex besides the university project. - The company is also expanding vocational training payroll significantly (increasing vocational trainers from about 180 to 400 this financial year), indicating operational investment though not specifically classified as capex.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Target for FY 2025-26: Rs. 100 crore top line with Rs. 8-10 crore bottom line. - Projected growth in FY 2026-27: Top line expected around Rs. 150 crore and bottom line approximately Rs. 12 crore. - Substantial ongoing projects valued around Rs. 80 crore to be booked majorly this year. - New government projects including DDU-GKY expected to boost revenue with outlay of Rs. 30-40 crore starting this year, generating revenues next year. - Expansion plans into states like Odisha, Sikkim, Tripura, Meghalaya, Mizoram, and Manipur to increase volumes. - Growth driven by consulting services, manpower support, vocational training expansion (doubling vocational trainers to 400), and apprenticeship programs. - International market exploration underway with expected international consulting revenue. - Increased order book value and diversified projects set to drive strong revenue growth over coming years.