Ascensive Educare LtdQ1 FY25Other Consumer Services

Ascensive Educare Ltd

Q1 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2

→Target for FY 2025-26: Rs. 100 crore top line with Rs. 8-10 crore bottom line.
→Projected growth in FY 2026-27: Top line expected around Rs. 150 crore and bottom line approximately Rs. 12 crore.
→Substantial ongoing projects valued around Rs. 80 crore to be booked majorly this year.
→New government projects including DDU-GKY expected to boost revenue with outlay of Rs. 30-40 crore starting this year, generating revenues next year.
→Expansion plans into states like Odisha, Sikkim, Tripura, Meghalaya, Mizoram, and Manipur to increase volumes.
→Growth driven by consulting services, manpower support, vocational training expansion (doubling vocational trainers to 400), and apprenticeship programs.
→International market exploration underway with expected international consulting revenue.
→Increased order book value and diversified projects set to drive strong revenue growth over coming years.

Margin guidance

Category 3

→Ascensive Educare targets a three-fold revenue growth with a projection of Rs. 100 CR top line and Rs. 8-10 CR bottom line for FY 2025-26.
→For FY 2026-27, the company projects revenues around Rs. 150 CR with a net profit target of approximately Rs. 12 CR.
→The company expects growth driven by onboarding more projects, including DDU-GKY schemes (estimated Rs. 30-40 CR).
→Expansion into new verticals such as consulting to government schools and industries is contributing positively.
→The operational profit margin is stable or improving, with the PBT margin increasing year-on-year.
→Increase in vocational trainers from ~180 to 400 in FY 2025-26 will drive higher revenue.
→International market exploration and institutional partnerships are expected to add to future growth, potentially by end of FY 2025-26.

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Fundraise plans

Yes

→The company plans to raise capital in the future to fund construction and operational costs for their upcoming university project.
→Currently, they are generating additional funds through year-on-year growth in top line and profits, which will partly fund the university.
→There is no explicit mention of immediate ongoing equity fundraising, but future capital raising is planned to cover remaining expenses related to asset creation.
→Due to operational expansion, the company has taken some borrowings this year to support increased expenditures.
→Overall, the company is managing its liabilities by reducing debt over the past five years but acknowledges some borrowing to support growth.

Order book

Yes

- The company currently has ongoing projects valued around Rs. 80 crore. - In the NI-MSME Northeast project, around 40% delivered, with 30% receivables; remaining 70% revenue to be booked this year. - Hunar Se Rozgar Tak scheme has 80% revenue booked; remaining 20% to be booked this year. - Approximately 70% of the total project size (other mentioned programs) will be booked this year. - A new manpower support project started recently, with entire turnover to be booked this year. - Apprenticeship projections will be fully booked this year. - Vocational training at schools will expand, growing vocational trainers from ~180 to 400 this financial year, with full revenue booking. - The company has a good book order value of more than Rs. 80 crore across 18 states and UTs. - Upcoming large project: Odisha Livelihoods Mission (OLM) to upskill 20,000 SHG members starting June. Overall, significant portion of revenues from current order book expected to be recognized in the current financial year.

Capex plans

Yes

→Ascensive Educare Limited has secured land near Kolkata for establishing a full-fledged industry-led university.
→The university is planned to be operational in FY 2026-27.
→The land is currently in the promoter's names and will be transferred to the company subject to availability of funds.
→Funding for the university and associated construction will come from internal accruals generated through expected top-line and profit growth.
→Additionally, the company plans to raise capital in the future to fund the rest of the university construction and fixtures.
→There is no mention of other specific current or future capex besides the university project.
→The company is also expanding vocational training payroll significantly (increasing vocational trainers from about 180 to 400 this financial year), indicating operational investment though not specifically classified as capex.

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