Atul Auto Ltd

Q3 FY16 Earnings Call Analysis

Agricultural, Commercial & Construction Vehicles

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Nocapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- For CAPEX, the company has already incurred close to Rs. 50 crores for land acquisition at Greenfield expansion. - The balance Rs. 100 crores is likely to be incurred over the next two years (FY18 and FY19). - For FY17, no large CAPEX is planned; the company intends to fund expansion through internal accruals only. - No specific mention of new fundraising through debt or equity was made during the call. - The company emphasizes utilizing internal accruals for upcoming investments. - No indications of external financing or capital raising initiatives were disclosed.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- The company has already incurred close to Rs. 50 crores for land acquisition for a Greenfield expansion. - An additional Rs. 100 crores is planned to be spent over the next two years (FY18 and FY19). - For FY17, no large CAPEX is expected; the expenditure will be internal accrual funded. - Project work for new facilities is expected to start around March-April 2017. - Commercial production from the new facility is planned to commence by FY19 (around April 2018). - Investments in R&D are modest, around Rs. 4-5 crores annually, focusing on upgrading products rather than major new developments. - No significant CAPEX for electric vehicle setup is needed as existing infrastructure suffices, with expenditures well below Rs. 5 crores.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company targets minimum double-digit volume growth for the second half of FY `17 despite external uncertainties. (Page 7) - Positive momentum in demand is expected to continue for the rest of the year due to good monsoon and positive economic environment. (Page 2) - The shortfall in first half FY `17 volumes compared to previous year is expected to be covered soon; strong sales since August indicate improving trends. (Page 2) - Electric three-wheeler market potential is large (120,000 units annually); company aims to capture 10-20% market share adding 20,000-25,000 units to volume. (Page 10) - The company is confident to end the fiscal year on a positive note in volume terms. (Page 7) - Exports currently contribute about 3% of revenue, with focus on smaller international markets for consistent volume growth. (Page 11, 5) - Expansion plans include starting new project work by March-April 2017 with commercial production from FY `19 to meet growing demand. (Page 11)
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company targets minimum double-digit volume growth for the second half of FY `17 (Page 7). - Confident of ending FY `17 with positive numbers, expecting 5-10% growth in vehicle sales for the remaining part of the year (Page 8). - Net profit for the quarter increased by 175.65% Quarter on Quarter, indicating strong operating performance (Page 3). - EBITDA margin improved to 16.10% versus 15.73% in the corresponding quarter last year; gross contribution improved to 28% from 27.03% (Page 3). - EPS for the quarter stood at Rs. 6.29 per share, maintaining steady earnings (Page 3). - Management expects other expenses to revert back to normal levels, which should support margin stability (Page 18). - Investment in R&D is consistent but not very high (~Rs. 4-5 crores annually), focusing on sustaining product upgrades (Page 16). - Electric vehicle segment presents growth opportunity with potential to add volumes and expand product basket (Pages 7, 10).
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The transcript does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders. - However, management discussed sales volumes: approximately 3,000 electric three-wheelers sold in select pockets during the seeding phase. - Expectation of double-digit growth in volume for FY17. - Monthly sales reached a record high with over 5,000 vehicles sold in October. - Electric three-wheelers potential market size is around 120,000 units annually with a target to capture 10-20% share. - New Greenfield expansion project work planned from March-April 2017 with commercial production starting FY19, indicating anticipation of increased orders. - Export orders remain insignificant currently, at about 3% of revenue. - The company is focusing on expanding dealership networks and markets to grow sales and order inflow.