Atul Auto LtdQ1 FY17
Atul Auto Ltd Q1 FY17 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹468P/E: 33.3Market Cap: ₹1.4K CrSector: Agricultural, Commercial & Construction Vehicles
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 2
Fundraise
N/A
Order
N/A
Capex
No
0 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →Industry volume growth is expected between 6%-8% for FY18, supported by GST implementation improving tax rates and cost structures (Page 17).
- →The company aims to return to normal growth momentum post-FY17 downturn and expects double-digit sustained growth over the next 5 years (Pages 14, 10).
- →Export sales share is targeted to grow from 5-6% currently to 30-40% within 3-5 years, focusing on African and Latin American markets (Pages 10, 17).
- →Introduction of alternative fuel vehicles and electric three-wheelers will be growth drivers, with planned seeding and expanding dealer networks by 15-20% in FY18 (Pages 17, 4, 8).
- →FY18 is expected to deliver positive numbers, recovering from the disappointing FY17 performance (Page 17).
- →CAPEX plans will be revisited after H1 FY18 based on market conditions and GST outcomes (Page 6).
Margin guidance
Category 2- →For FY18, volume growth is expected in the range of 6% to 8% as per industry research.
- →The company anticipates improvement in tax rate and cost structure, benefiting profit margins.
- →Despite FY17 being disappointing with an 11.61% fall in unit sales, Atul Auto expects to cover losses and deliver positive numbers in FY18.
- →Earnings and profitability are expected to improve as volumes normalize and scale economies return.
- →Net profit margin dipped from 8.98% in FY16 to 7.90% in FY17 due to low volumes but is expected to restore with growth.
- →There is confidence in sustaining double-digit growth over the next 2-5 years.
- →Export volumes are anticipated to increase substantially, potentially growing from 5-6% to 30-40% of sales in 3-5 years, driving earnings.
- →Launch of electric and alternative fuel vehicles and GST implementation are seen as growth drivers.
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Fundraise plans
- →No fresh equity or debt fundraising plans were disclosed in the call.
- →The company intends to fund any future CAPEX, including potential expansion projects, through internal accruals only.
- →Atul Auto enjoys a cash surplus and plans to monitor market conditions, especially post-GST implementation, before deciding on further investments.
- →A decision on any CAPEX or expansion will likely be taken in the second half of FY18 after assessing demand and economic scenarios.
- →The company remains debt-free as per the latest financials shared.
Order book
The transcript provided does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders for Atul Auto Limited. However, some relevant points can be inferred:
- Jitendra Adhia discussed challenges with BS III vehicle inventory and how some vehicles are being upgraded to BS IV.
- There is mention of seeding and billing of electric three-wheelers starting this quarter, indicating initial orders and market introduction phase.
- Volume growth is expected in the industry between 6% to 8% for FY18.
- Export volumes are expected to grow, especially in African and Latin American markets.
- No specific figures on order book or pending orders were disclosed during the Q&A in the transcript provided.
If you need detailed order book data, one may need to refer to official company financial reports or investor presentations.
Capex plans
No- →No fresh capital expenditure (CAPEX) commitment has been made yet for FY18; the company plans to assess market conditions post-H1 FY18 before deciding on expansion.
- →The existing plant capacity (60,000 units) is underutilized (currently below 40,000 units), so the company prefers to improve utilization before new investments.
- →Ahmadabad plant expansion CAPEX is deferred, with maintenance CAPEX for existing plants expected to be below ₹5 crore in FY18.
- →The company intends to fund future expansions through internal accruals, relying on its cash surplus.
- →Any decision on expansion or CAPEX will be taken after evaluating GST implementation impact and overall demand scenario by the end of H1 FY18.
- →Electric three-wheeler market seeding is ongoing in FY18, but large-scale CAPEX for this is yet to be planned.
How does Atul Auto Ltd rank vs peers in Agricultural, Commercial & Construction Vehicles?
Pro feature1Atul Auto Ltd
Rev 3Mar 2
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