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Avro India LtdQ2 FY23

Avro India Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 10.6P/E: 46.2Market Cap: ₹167 CrSector: Consumer Durables

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Target to double turnover by FY 2026, or possibly earlier, depending on capex deployment.
  • Plan to increase plastic furniture sales from 25 lakh pieces to 50 lakh pieces over the next 2-3 years.
  • Aim to increase recycling capacity from current ~260 tons per month to 600 tons through debottlenecking.
  • Ambition to raise in-house plastic manufacturing capacity from 8,000 tons to 12,000-15,000 tons in the next few years.
  • Long-term vision includes setting up a large Greenfield recycling plant to significantly scale up operations.
  • Focus on expanding regional presence across India, currently in 18 states, with plans to deepen distribution.
  • Expect organic growth of about 15% in the plastic furniture market.
  • Plans to introduce new product categories to excite customers and drive volume growth.
  • Marketing spend to increase gradually aligned with scale and volume growth.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Avro India plans to double its turnover by FY 2026 or earlier, depending on the speed of capex deployment and scaling operations.
  • EBITDA margin currently around 10%, considered low for manufacturing, with scope for improvement through achieving critical mass and operational scale.
  • Earnings growth expected from increased in-house recycled plastic production capacity, aiming to rise from current 8,000 tons to 15,000 tons in the next couple of years.
  • Expansion in plastic furniture market with 15% organic growth across India provides strong demand potential.
  • Investment in product innovation and expansion of distribution channels (currently in 18 states) to drive increased revenue.
  • Focus on cost optimization via backward integration and recycling plant to improve margins and profitability.
  • Overall, management is confident of exponential results in earnings and profits from FY24 onwards as scaling and market expansion accelerates.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company is exploring various funding options for capital expenditure (capex) to scale up operations.
  • They acknowledge the need for significant capital to expand recycling capacity and potentially set up a large greenfield plant.
  • Sources of funding mentioned include internal accruals and access to debt.
  • The company is open to leveraging external capital if available, including potential equity or large capital infusion.
  • There was a mention of a small earlier IPO, but current plans require much larger funding.
  • They are open to ideas and support from investors and stakeholders regarding funding.
  • Overall, the company is in an investment phase and actively scouting for capital to accelerate growth.

Order book

  • The transcript does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders with specific figures.
  • However, it indicates a healthy demand with approximately 36,000 orders being served across 6,500 zip codes in India on a B2C model.
  • The company is steadily increasing volumes and aiming to double sales over the next three years.
  • Expansion is ongoing, with orders coming from newer markets like Karnataka, Bihar, Jharkhand, Assam, and West Bengal.
  • The company is focusing on scaling up production capacity and debottlenecking manufacturing processes to meet growing demand.
  • Growth is expected organically over the next few quarters, with plans for potential large capex to scale production further.
  • Overall, the company shows strong order inflow and expanding market acceptance without specific backlog details provided.

Capex plans

Yes
- Current capex focus on debottlenecking and expanding recycling capacity from 260 tons to 600 tons per month, aiming eventually for 1,000 tons. - Planned incremental capex of approx. INR 10 crores to add machines and molds primarily in furniture manufacturing, targeting doubling turnover by FY ’26. - Exploring large-scale Greenfield plant setup for significant capacity expansion, possibly within next 6 months to few years depending on capital availability. - Capex aimed at boosting in-house post-consumer plastic processing to reduce dependency on external suppliers and optimize costs. - Gradual organic scaling alongside potential bulk capex deployment to increase production 5x-10x. - Capex funding through a mix of internal accruals, debt, and possible external capital infusion. - Strategic investments in new product molds and SKUs to refresh product portfolio and capture new markets. - Investment in manpower and marketing resources to support growth and pan-India expansion. Overall, the focus is on scaling production and recycling capacities with both stepwise and big-bang capex options.

How does Avro India Ltd rank vs peers in Consumer Durables?

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1Avro India Ltd
Rev 2Mar 3

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