
Bajaj Housing Q1 FY27 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 4
Fundraise
N/A
Order
N/A
Capex
N/A
0 of 2 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →Industry growth for home loans was 9.4% in FY26; expected to stay in the 9%-10.5% range for FY27, slightly muted compared to historical 11%-12% growth.
- →Demand dynamics are stabilized or slightly muted due to real estate price stabilization, reducing pre-ponement of demand seen in previous years.
- →Portfolio disbursements have sharply increased, with Sambhav Housing's monthly disbursement rising from INR410-425 crores in Q4 to INR450-465 crores in Q1, targeting over INR600 crores in next 9 months.
- →Growth driven partly by widening and deepening in prime home loans with commercial businesses performing well.
- →Company growth is modest relative to overall market size; gains come from capturing a slightly larger share of expanding market rather than taking share from competitors.
- →Aggregate AUM for Q1 FY27 stands near INR1.5 lakh crores; highest ever quarterly growth at INR8,918 crores.
- →Overall sales/revenue growth expected to be steady but cautious due to stable interest rates and competitive pricing.
Margin guidance
Category 4- →**Loan Growth**: Expected to be similar or slightly muted around 9-10.5% industry growth, reflecting stabilized demand after previous preponement due to price hikes.
- →**NIM Guidance**: Projected moderation by 20-25 basis points in FY27 due to yield compression in a stable interest rate regime.
- →**Cost Efficiency**: Operating efficiency expected to improve slightly, with opex-to-NTI remaining sideways around 19-20%.
- →**Credit Costs**: Expected to be in the normal range of 10-15 bps for FY27.
- →**Asset Quality**: GNPA expected to remain healthy at 30-35 bps.
- →**Profitability**: ROA targeted at 2.1-2.3%, with ROE in the range of 12.5-13% for FY27.
- →**EPS/Profit Growth**: PAT grew 23% YoY in Q1; positive growth momentum expected driven by stable asset quality and efficiency gains.
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Fundraise plans
Order book
Capex plans
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