CARE Ratings LtdQ3 FY19
CARE Ratings Ltd Q3 FY19 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹1,678P/E: 31.6Market Cap: ₹5.4K CrSector: Capital Markets
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 5
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
N/A
Order
No
Capex
N/A
0 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 5- →Optimism exists for H2 FY2020, driven by festive season consumption and good Kharif harvest, potentially boosting spending and investment next year or soon after.
- →Full recovery expected likely only by FY2021 with a swifter market pickup.
- →Growth depends heavily on resolution pace of NBFC crisis and banking sector health.
- →Government measures (PSB mergers, corporate tax cuts, ease of doing business, sector-specific boosts) expected to aid recovery.
- →Corporate bond market expansion, bank credit growth (especially to industrial and service sectors), and revived capex cycle are key for long-term volume/revenue expansion.
- →Surveillance income stable; initial rating income affected by economic slowdown and lower issuances, with efforts ongoing to boost business development.
- →CARE expects better performance from subsidiaries like CARE Risk Solutions, contributing to consolidated growth.
- →Overall, slow but cautious improvement anticipated, with significant dependence on macroeconomic and financial sector recovery.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →CARE Ratings expects an improvement in H2 FY2020 over H1 due to anticipated consumption recovery from festival season and good Kharif harvest, potentially boosting investments next fiscal. (Page 4)
- →Revenue growth is constrained by ongoing economic slowdown, banking sector stress, and NBFC crisis, impacting new issuances more than surveillance income. (Pages 3, 6, 14)
- →Employee costs increased due to salary revisions implemented in early 2019; however, ESOP amortization charges have ended, providing some cost cushion in coming quarters. (Pages 11, 15)
- →No significant structural or regulatory changes anticipated to drastically alter margins; focus remains on maintaining quality manpower for quality ratings. (Page 10)
- →Long-term growth depends on revival in bank credit, corporate bond market growth (including lower-rated debts), and improvement in private capex and credit flows. (Pages 9, 10)
- →Overall, CARE anticipates a swifter recovery from FY2021 onwards rather than immediate rebound this fiscal. (Page 4)
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Fundraise plans
- →The company did not explicitly mention any current or immediate plans for new fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript.
- →There is no direct reference to impending capital raising activities or equity issuance.
- →The company highlighted a significant decline in volume of debt rated (~50-60% decline) impacting revenue but maintained market share.
- →They discussed the slowdown in the economy and subdued borrowings affecting rating opportunities.
- →No specifics were shared about future debt or equity fundraising; focus remains on monitoring economic recovery and market conditions.
- →Subsidiary expansions, such as entering Kenya, were mentioned, but without associated fundraising plans.
- →Management emphasized maintaining quality manpower and cost control rather than raising funds at this stage.
Order book
No- →The transcripts do not specifically mention the current or expected orderbook/pending orders for CARE Ratings as of Q2 FY2020.
- →Discussions focus on the volume of debt rated, which declined significantly by about 50-60% in the quarter.
- →There is emphasis on the slowdown in initial ratings business due to weak market conditions, with surveillance business remaining stable.
- →Market share in terms of rated volumes is said to be intact despite lower volumes.
- →There is no direct information or figures provided on pending orders or orderbook status in the call.
Capex plans
- →CARE Ratings currently does not indicate any large-scale capital expenditure or capex projects directly in the provided transcript.
- →The company is focusing on maintaining quality manpower as a key resource rather than reducing headcount, implying stable fixed employee-related expenses.
- →Strategic investments include expanding subsidiaries in Nepal and Mauritius and a new regulatory accreditation in Kenya with plans to set up operations there within a year to 18 months.
- →CARE is pursuing growth opportunities in risk management solutions through its CARE Risk Solutions business, targeting increased performance especially outside India in South Asia and Southeast Asia.
- →Regulatory-driven restructuring is causing certain businesses to be hived off to subsidiaries like CART, which carries out advisory services, reflecting strategic portfolio reorganization rather than capex-heavy moves.
How does CARE Ratings Ltd rank vs peers in Capital Markets?
Pro feature1CARE Ratings Ltd
Rev 5Mar 3
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