CARE Ratings Ltd
Q3 FY19 Earnings Call Analysis
Capital Markets
fundraise: No informationcapex: No informationrevenue: Category 5margin: Category 3orderbook: No
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The company did not explicitly mention any current or immediate plans for new fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript.
- There is no direct reference to impending capital raising activities or equity issuance.
- The company highlighted a significant decline in volume of debt rated (~50-60% decline) impacting revenue but maintained market share.
- They discussed the slowdown in the economy and subdued borrowings affecting rating opportunities.
- No specifics were shared about future debt or equity fundraising; focus remains on monitoring economic recovery and market conditions.
- Subsidiary expansions, such as entering Kenya, were mentioned, but without associated fundraising plans.
- Management emphasized maintaining quality manpower and cost control rather than raising funds at this stage.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- CARE Ratings currently does not indicate any large-scale capital expenditure or capex projects directly in the provided transcript.
- The company is focusing on maintaining quality manpower as a key resource rather than reducing headcount, implying stable fixed employee-related expenses.
- Strategic investments include expanding subsidiaries in Nepal and Mauritius and a new regulatory accreditation in Kenya with plans to set up operations there within a year to 18 months.
- CARE is pursuing growth opportunities in risk management solutions through its CARE Risk Solutions business, targeting increased performance especially outside India in South Asia and Southeast Asia.
- Regulatory-driven restructuring is causing certain businesses to be hived off to subsidiaries like CART, which carries out advisory services, reflecting strategic portfolio reorganization rather than capex-heavy moves.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Optimism exists for H2 FY2020, driven by festive season consumption and good Kharif harvest, potentially boosting spending and investment next year or soon after.
- Full recovery expected likely only by FY2021 with a swifter market pickup.
- Growth depends heavily on resolution pace of NBFC crisis and banking sector health.
- Government measures (PSB mergers, corporate tax cuts, ease of doing business, sector-specific boosts) expected to aid recovery.
- Corporate bond market expansion, bank credit growth (especially to industrial and service sectors), and revived capex cycle are key for long-term volume/revenue expansion.
- Surveillance income stable; initial rating income affected by economic slowdown and lower issuances, with efforts ongoing to boost business development.
- CARE expects better performance from subsidiaries like CARE Risk Solutions, contributing to consolidated growth.
- Overall, slow but cautious improvement anticipated, with significant dependence on macroeconomic and financial sector recovery.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- CARE Ratings expects an improvement in H2 FY2020 over H1 due to anticipated consumption recovery from festival season and good Kharif harvest, potentially boosting investments next fiscal. (Page 4)
- Revenue growth is constrained by ongoing economic slowdown, banking sector stress, and NBFC crisis, impacting new issuances more than surveillance income. (Pages 3, 6, 14)
- Employee costs increased due to salary revisions implemented in early 2019; however, ESOP amortization charges have ended, providing some cost cushion in coming quarters. (Pages 11, 15)
- No significant structural or regulatory changes anticipated to drastically alter margins; focus remains on maintaining quality manpower for quality ratings. (Page 10)
- Long-term growth depends on revival in bank credit, corporate bond market growth (including lower-rated debts), and improvement in private capex and credit flows. (Pages 9, 10)
- Overall, CARE anticipates a swifter recovery from FY2021 onwards rather than immediate rebound this fiscal. (Page 4)
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The transcripts do not specifically mention the current or expected orderbook/pending orders for CARE Ratings as of Q2 FY2020.
- Discussions focus on the volume of debt rated, which declined significantly by about 50-60% in the quarter.
- There is emphasis on the slowdown in initial ratings business due to weak market conditions, with surveillance business remaining stable.
- Market share in terms of rated volumes is said to be intact despite lower volumes.
- There is no direct information or figures provided on pending orders or orderbook status in the call.
