Cochin Shipyard Ltd

Q2 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis

Industrial Manufacturing

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- No explicit mention of current or future fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript. - Discussion focuses on CAPEX plans, order book, project execution, and margins. - CAPEX for FY23 expected around ₹400 crore, with ongoing investments in dry dock and ISRF projects. - No direct references to new fund raising activities. - Focus appears on operational execution and completing existing order book rather than equity or debt raising. - Management mentions risks and opportunities but does not indicate plans for external capital raising.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Current CAPEX for FY23 is targeted around ₹400 crore. - Total CAPEX spent till now on dry dock and International Ship Repair Facility (ISRF) is about ₹1240 crore. - Expected CAPEX spend this year (current year) on dry dock and ISRF is ₹330 crore. - New dry dock at Hooghly and ISRF projects are underway but faced delays due to labor issues and contractor difficulties. - Kolkata (Hugly Cochin Shipyard Ltd) and Malpe (Tebma Shipyards) facilities are being refurbished and expected to start work soon. - Expansion includes seven functional units across Kochi, Mumbai, Kolkata, Port Blair, and Malpe with increased staffing. - Formation of a new division "Shipyard Strategic and Advanced Solutions" focusing on electric mobility, fuel cells, hydrogen, solar powered vessels, and defense tech as a strategic long-term investment. - Plans for ramping up operations in ship repair and shipbuilding, including a strong pipeline of naval and dredger orders (₹1000 crore dredger opportunity).
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Cochin Shipyard expects turnover to exceed ₹3500 crore in FY22 and around ₹4000 crore in FY23. - Aircraft Carrier (IAC) revenues are significant but will gradually phase out; IAC turnover expected around ₹1850 crore in FY22. - Non-IAC naval shipbuilding projects (ASW Corvette, NGMV) and ship repair contribute remainder; ASW Corvette orders to begin revenue recognition from FY22, NGMV orders expected from FY24. - The shipbuilding turnover target is approximately ₹2500 crore, including ₹1600-1700 crore from NGMV and ₹800-1000 crore from ASW Corvette. - Ship repair turnover is expected around ₹750-800 crore, with Cochin and other yards ramping up post-COVID disruptions. - New order pipelines across Navy and Coast Guard total about ₹4500 crore, with high confidence in winning at least one major order. - Dredger orders worth about ₹1000 crore represent an emerging business area. - Infrastructure and workforce expansion at multiple locations (Mumbai, Kolkata, Port Blair) supports growth ambitions. - Long-term strategic focus includes new technology and electric propulsion solutions under the Shipyard Strategic & Advanced Solutions division.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Continued strong order pipeline, with current order book ~₹12,000 crores and next generation missile vessels (NGMV) ~₹10,000 crores. - Targeting FY23 revenue around ₹4,000 crores, up from ₹3,500 crores in FY22. - Shipbuilding margins expected to normalize post-IAC project; IAC had higher-than-normal margins due to its unique scale and phase. - New orders like ASW Corvette and NGMV expected to contribute from FY22/FY24 onwards, with ASW margins single-digit and NGMV low double-digit margins. - Ship repair business aims to regain FY20 turnover levels, with consistent margins expected. - Infrastructure improvements (dry dock, ISRF) and scale-up post-IAC completion intended to support higher annual order execution (₹1,500-2,000 crores). - Overall profitability may moderate from unusually high FY21 levels due to project phases but expected to maintain stable growth aligned with order book execution.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Current order book excluding the Indigenous Aircraft Carrier (IAC) is approximately ₹17,000 - ₹18,000 crores, including ₹10,000 crore for the Next Generation Missile Vessel (NGMV). - The IAC order book is about ₹4,500 crores, expected to be executed over 2-3 years. - IAC margins are higher but considered a one-off project, with other shipbuilding orders delivering lower but stable margins. - NGMV orders involve 6 vessels with an execution period spanning 9 years (48 months for first vessel, then one per year). - ASW Corvette order execution spans about 6 years. - There is a significant pipeline including 3 Navy/Coast Guard tenders totaling around ₹4,500 crores in advanced stages. - Additional expected orders include a potential dredger order worth around ₹1,000 crores. - Management aims to continuously replenish the order book over time to maintain yard utilization and revenue stability.