Dhabriya Poly.
Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Industrial Products
capex: Nofundraise: Norevenue: Category 2margin: Category 2orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No major capital expenditure (capex) planned for the next 2-3 years as current capacity suffices.
- Regular capex of around INR 8-10 crores per year for maintenance and technology upgrades only.
- Focus is on monetizing existing capacity rather than expansion.
- Management committed to reducing long-term debt and working capital debts.
- Ample liquidity expected; working capital days likely to improve with increasing revenue.
- No mention of new debt or equity fundraising plans in the call.
- Any future decisions on fundraising or board migration (e.g., NSE main board) will be assessed and discussed with advisors as needed.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- No major expansion planned in the next 2-3 years as capacity has already been built.
- Regular capex of around INR 8-10 crore annually for maintenance and adoption of new technologies across 5 plants.
- Recent capacity expansions include additions to the Bangalore extrusion plant, increasing total extrusion capacity to around 27,000 metric tons.
- Existing capacities are being monetized with increased utilization expected to reach up to 75-80% before considering new capacity addition.
- Arizo Studio in Delhi NCR is slated to be operational in the first half of FY25, indicating ongoing strategic investments in retail presence.
- Capex focus is on brownfield or debottlenecking improvements rather than greenfield expansions.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The company targets a sales growth of 20%-25% annually over the next few years, driven by a robust real estate sector and increasing market demand.
- Volume growth in PVC profile extrusion is expected around 15% capacity utilization increase in the recent year, with room for up to 75%-80% utilization before capacity expansion.
- The fluted panel segment, seen as a premium and growing product, aims to reach INR100 crores sales in about 3 years, currently at INR30 crores.
- Existing capacities suffice for the next 2-3 years with minimal capex (~INR8-10 crores annually for maintenance).
- The order book of approximately INR140 crores (mainly project-related business) is expected to increase with ongoing projects in bidding/finalization.
- Sustainable gross margins around 45-49% support growth.
- Expansion efforts focus on new geographical markets, especially West India, with showroom openings and increased sales team strength.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The company targets a 20%-25% sales growth over the next few years, supported by robust real estate growth and new project developments.
- EBITDA margins are expected to improve by 2%-3% this year, with sustainable margins around 14%+ considered good for the industry.
- Gross margins of around 45%-49% are sustainable, driven by focus on high-margin products like fluted panels and new innovative solutions.
- Capacity utilization is expected to increase up to 75%-80% in the next 2-3 years before requiring new capacity additions.
- Working capital efficiency is improving, with a target to reduce cash conversion cycle to around 100 days, aiding better liquidity and profitability.
- The company anticipates growing order book beyond INR140 crores in FY25, supporting revenue and profit expansion.
- Export business is growing but currently contributes 1.5%-2% of top line; expected to increase.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Current order book stands at INR 140 crores.
- This order book primarily relates to project business involving UPVC windows and modular furniture for developers.
- The INR 140 crores represents about 40% of the company's overall top line.
- The extrusion business (B2B) forms about 60% of the top line and consists of regular, short-term orders without a long-term order book.
- Management is optimistic about the order book growing further by the end of FY’25 due to a rapidly growing market and strong bidding/finalization of new projects.
- Ongoing projects in bidding or finalization stages support positive outlook for sustained and increasing order inflow.
