Dilip Buildcon Ltd
Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Construction
capex: Norevenue: Category 4margin: Category 3orderbook: Yesfundraise: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Dilip Buildcon Limited is targeting no significant fundraising through warrants or equity at the parent level for the next 2 to 3 years.
- The recent capital raise was largely driven by investor insistence, not company-initiated fundraising.
- The company plans to reduce debt through a combination of internal profits and external capital raised.
- Capex spending will be slower, avoiding new equipment investments to keep the balance sheet leaner.
- The partnership with Alpha Alternatives involves capital infusion of about INR 2,000 crores, split between warrants and stakes in HAM projects, occurring through FY '24 and FY '25.
- DBL intends to focus on monetizing assets via its InvIT to generate long-term revenue streams rather than raising new debt or equity frequently.
- The company aims to become net debt-free by FY '25.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- The company plans to go slower on capex, especially on gross block investments in equipment, aiming to reduce capex related to own equipment unless there is a growth block of about INR 4,000 crores.
- They will continue selective investment in PPP projects that meet their IRR hurdles.
- Capex for FY '24 is projected around INR 50 to 75 crores net, considering replacement of old equipment.
- The strategy focuses on making the balance sheet leaner and lighter by sustaining growth with existing equipment without aggressive capex.
- They aim to reduce both long-term and short-term debt by INR 800-1,000 crores from FY '23 to FY '24.
- Capital raised via partnership with Alpha Alternatives (~INR 2,000 crores) will partly be used for debt repayment and equity investments in HAM projects.
- Using capital and profits, they are investing in equity projects and InvIT units to drive asset monetization and generate long-term revenue streams.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Targeting a measured revenue growth of 5% to 8% year-on-year from FY '23 levels.
- Guidance for FY '24 includes achieving approximately INR 11,000 crores in revenue.
- Growth will be driven by diversified sectors beyond roads, including water, railways, metros, airports, mining, dams, and canals.
- Not pursuing aggressive growth to avoid heavy capex; focus is on sustainable, lean operations with existing equipment.
- Expect order inflow around INR 10,000 crores annually, maintaining a policy of roughly 2.5x order book to revenue.
- No intention to bid aggressively for low-margin projects; prioritizing projects that meet IRR hurdles.
- Long-term growth strategy includes both EPC (short-term) and asset (long-term) revenue streams, supported by InvIT units generating steady cash flow.
- Gross block capex to be reduced; growth to rely on existing assets and selective PPP projects.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Targeting a consistent revenue growth of 5% to 8% annually over the next 2-3 years, with INR 11,000+ crore top line expected in the near future.
- EBITDA margins projected between 12% to 14%, reflecting steady operational efficiency.
- Profit after tax (PAT) margins expected to improve as the company becomes net debt-free by FY '25, benefiting from lower finance costs.
- Early completion bonuses, which previously added 1-2% margins, are less relevant now due to diversified sectors, but overall margins are maintained through cost optimizations.
- Debt reduction focus and lower capex commitments will improve cash flows and profitability.
- InvIT deal expected to provide regular non-EPC income, with annual cash flow from InvIT units estimated at INR 400 crore plus.
- Striving for a leaner and lighter balance sheet to support measured and sustainable growth rather than aggressive expansion.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The company has bid for projects worth approximately INR 10,000 crores where results are pending.
- The current order book is diversified across sectors including roads, metros, airports, water projects, dams, canals, water supply, and mining.
- Roads now constitute less than 40% of the order book, down from over 80%.
- The government has floated orders worth about INR 75,000 crores in HAM and INR 25,000 crores in EPC segments.
- DBL aims for a measured growth with an order book maintaining around 2.5x of revenue, targeting winning around INR 10,000 crores in new orders annually.
- The company expects continued activity and inflow from various sectors aligned with government infrastructure focus, ensuring a robust and diversified order book.
